Villain is 13/6/4 i never believe in flush over flush but this time i had a hard time thinking. What is the expected value of this hand?

Party Poker $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 10 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

CO: $60.10
BTN: $47.50
SB: $48.50
Hero (BB): $50.00
UTG: $35.85
UTG+1: $14.65
UTG+2: $60.20
MP1: $9.25
MP2: $68.90
MP3: $53.45

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BB with 5 7
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.50, UTG+2 calls $0.50, 4 folds, BTN raises to $1.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $1, UTG+1 calls $1, 1 fold

Flop: ($5.25) 8 2 K (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 checks, BTN bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50, UTG+1 calls $3.50

Turn: ($15.75) 3 (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 checks, BTN checks

River: ($15.75) J (3 players)
Hero bets $12.00, UTG+1 folds, BTN raises to $42.50, Hero ??????


i was distracted by msn by the way. i try to focus, win some money then open msn and f up

Comments will be appreciated

Pre Flop: Fold. This is a garbage hand against someone with those stats, even if he's just stealing.

Flop: A tag will c-bet here with anything, but that's no reason to call. You're 1:5 to hit your flush and getting 3:1. At this point there's no reason to expect significant implied odds here.

Turn: If BTN had hit the flop, he'd bet here too. He's hoping to see a cheap river.

River: You hit and so you have to bet for value, but I don't see him reraising without a better flush. Fold.

How often will villain have AQd vs JJ?

One of my biggest leaks is paying off hands like these. i always talk myself into villain having JJ or air in spots like these. But keep in mind that when you call on the flop a flushdraw is in your range of hands. When you bet the river when your card hits, and he raises, he do this in the face of a possible flush. Would he do this with JJ?

Fold the river, this donk-nit has played his hand face-up and has you crushed more often than not.

im calling, the onli FD in his range is like AQd?

He could have JJ, but there's more AXs hands that this guy could be on.

13% vpip is like 77+,A8s+,K9s+,QTs+,JTs,ATo+,KJo+. From the button he could be raising more hands than ATs+, KQs.

Maybe it was a fold preflop. Lets say i had jtd
it is the same situation right? well maybe his range gets small a little bit
I see to the hand and now i think it is a clear fold

Dont understand why we call on the flop if we fold the river when we hit.

what was the plan on the flop?