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river decision, to nit or not to nit river decision, to nit or not to nit

03-25-2012 , 12:23 PM
Villian i see as a reg nit running 19/16, 8% 3 bet, had 1 note on him that in bvb situations he raises, and c/f alot.

UTG is a good reg TAG, running 21/18 folds 60% to 3 bet.


Microgaming - €0.50 NL - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

BB: €55.16
UTG: €54.26
MP: €47.35
Hero (CO): €50.00
BTN: €62.25
SB: €50.25

SB posts SB €0.25, BB posts BB €0.50

Pre Flop: (€0.75) Hero has 9 9

UTG raises to €1.50, fold, Hero calls €1.50, fold, fold, BB raises to €5.00, UTG calls €3.50, Hero calls €3.50

Flop: (€15.25, 3 players) Q 9 5
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets €7.50, BB calls €7.50, fold

Turn: (€30.25, 2 players) K
BB checks, Hero checks

River: (€30.25, 2 players) 7
BB bets €10.50, Hero ??
river decision, to nit or not to nit Quote
03-25-2012 , 12:27 PM
Call.
river decision, to nit or not to nit Quote
03-25-2012 , 12:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bruinddh
Call.
why?
river decision, to nit or not to nit Quote
03-25-2012 , 12:49 PM
call. with a 19/16 if he rep-ed a flush JTss or AJss or worse, I don't really think so with a AJss. He knows that you'll be paying for a cheap showdown because you do have some showdown value, but not the flush. I personally think AK or AQ tbh is in his range here. Feel free to disagree.
river decision, to nit or not to nit Quote
03-25-2012 , 12:56 PM
Here's what i thought his range was after the flop. QQ-AA, AQ, and AJss.

I don't think he calls the flop oop with Ak ever. Would he 3 bet AJss against Utg and middle CO caller so low? I don't know

On river it just stunk of a block bet, but given board am i just better off calling a block bet than raising it?
river decision, to nit or not to nit Quote
03-25-2012 , 01:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rmhumr
Here's what i thought his range was after the flop. QQ-AA, AQ, and AJss.

I don't think he calls the flop oop with Ak ever. Would he 3 bet AJss against Utg and middle CO caller so low? I don't know

On river it just stunk of a block bet, but given board am i just better off calling a block bet than raising it?
Your raise just folds everything out, so just take the cracking odds and call... We have tones of SD value.
river decision, to nit or not to nit Quote
03-25-2012 , 01:16 PM
well he was squeezing you guys OOP so it def reps a made hand even PF. yes upon further analysis, QQ-AA, AQ is quite a range with AK out. Thing is that would he protect QQ-KK from flush draws (we are rulling out AA with a spade because he has a blocker)
river decision, to nit or not to nit Quote
03-25-2012 , 01:25 PM
i think most are in agreement river is a call. Even though I had that he gets to set the price when i think i'm ahead

what about turn? is checking turn the correct play?
river decision, to nit or not to nit Quote

      
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