Villain running at 56/48/1.2 seems to be aggressive and has bet 3 times vs a missed cbet on the turn.
Should i be betting this turn? As played whats my plan?


Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
SB ($46)
Hero ($25)
UTG ($33.65)
UTG+1 ($25.35)
CO ($13.80)
BTN ($24.39)

Dealt to Hero K K

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.50, SB calls $0.40, Hero raises to $3, BTN calls $2.50, fold

FLOP ($6.50) 9 4 Q

Hero bets $4.50, BTN calls $4.50

TURN ($15.50) 9 4 Q 6

Hero checks, BTN bets $6.50,

this is an interesting spot. hand sample on villain?

the stats certainly indicate a RIDICULOUSLY wide range that would both minraise the button, and call both the 3b and flop.

unfortunately, by not betting this turn card, it's really tough to say, since if this villain's competant and knows you were reasonably unlikely to bet the flop and check the turn that completes the heart draw, he will know he has massive fold equity on you with ATC.

comes down to whether you think it's a thinking villain or just an aggrodonk.

the bet size is screaming "call me", though, so considering that you would have 28.50 in the pot if you called, you're committing your stack here if you want to see showdown. imo, i don't think you have any option aside from fold/shove here. and if you decide to shove, is it for value, a bluff, or to collect dead money?

Hand size around 100 hands so not to many, I'd defiantly say he was an aggro donk having seen him call 3bets with small Axs and I doubt he has a good thought process. If I were shoving here it would be for value, I'm pretty hopeful he will call w/ a queen or decent heart but then due to sample size i cant be sure.

Against this player type I'd probably almost pot every street and expect to see a Q a lot of times. Definitely not folding.

Pref lop size was great. now pot the flop.

i'm never folding here...ever.

Ship it .. or fold, but that's criminal. If you call the turn you only have $11 behind and that's going to leave us some awful river decisions. Plus, if he's playing a FD, you aren't getting any money from him on a bricked river. Against this guy, this is a value raise ... I'd expect this guy to call with Ah or Kh.

I def would have pot bet the turn or close to it (>$12) but even since you didn't and the way it went I would lean towards shipping here. Like TheLusty said I think he's calling w/ Ah, Kh, almost any queen and possibly even something like JhTx, so I think a shove for value would be good considering he only has $10 behind after turn bet.