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Overpair on a very wet flop? Overpair on a very wet flop?

06-16-2015 , 11:52 AM
0.02/0.05 zoom game.

V1/UTG 110BB
Hero/SB 165BB

Hero has Ace Ace
V1 has vpip of 18 and pfr of 12 froms 17 hands, pretty standard TAG stats for 6-max?

V1 raises to 0.15
Folds to hero who raises to 0.45
BB folds V1 calls

Flop

7 3 4

Hero bets 0.55
V1 raises to 1.10

Hero folds

My thought process was villian's range is polarized to sets as flush draws are a lot less likely because of my line. Mistake on my part if so is a call or re-raise better against min-raise. Thoughts?
Overpair on a very wet flop? Quote
06-16-2015 , 11:58 AM
this flop isn't super wet. you block some flush draws. UTG probably isn't raising very many 65/ or 6x/5x hands from UTG. given you 3bet and got called pre, villains range is probably mainly pocket pairs less than KK (so QQ-33) + AK/Q and maybe KQ hands.

you bet flop and got min raised so toss out draws and AX hands. you're either vs., IMO, overpair which you beat, or a set. I'd jam villains flop min raise knowing that you'll get called by QQ/JJ/TT and maybe smaller PP that aren't sets (a lot of villains will have trouble folding 99 and 88 here). 66 and 55 might also call you knowing they have outs + gutshot and you could be bluffing/ firing off AK/Q.. Of course, you lose to sets but you're head of his PP range by a fair amount.
Overpair on a very wet flop? Quote
06-16-2015 , 11:59 AM
or he's set mining you knowing he'll get his 25x value if you continue.
17 hands isn't really enough to have a sound idea of what kind of player the villain is imo
Overpair on a very wet flop? Quote
06-16-2015 , 01:36 PM
This is a bit of a weird hand. The min-raise scares me, but at the same time in never folding getting such a good price. I defiantly think he does this with sets, but there aren't a ton of combos of those. think PP 88 and bigger do this too. I think i like calling here and just deciding on what to do on later streets based on what cards come off and villains action. Do remember that this is a 3Bet pot so that takes a lot of the hands that would hit this board out of villains range.

Overall i understand the fold but folding AA here to a min-raise is just super exploitable in the long run and not a go habit to get into. I know this is a tough spot and you want to avoid it, but this is way too weak.
Overpair on a very wet flop? Quote
06-16-2015 , 02:31 PM
He is a nit, so i dont think hes calling with 77, 33, 44 pre, as i dont do it and im quite more agro. So hes probably overplaying hands like 99,TT, so i prefer to push.
Overpair on a very wet flop? Quote
06-16-2015 , 07:20 PM
18/12 isn't standard. Probably would jam given these positions and expect to see 99+ a fair bit when called. Call flop is more okay vs villains that have some clue, especially since we have the As.
Overpair on a very wet flop? Quote
06-16-2015 , 09:38 PM
This is a stupid raise for info type of raise I think. I wouldn't shove but I would call down on almost any runout.
Overpair on a very wet flop? Quote
06-17-2015 , 03:22 AM
folding seems pretty terrible
Overpair on a very wet flop? Quote

      
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