Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve G
I'm MJ_GOAT on Full Tilt $0.15/$0.30 deepstack , any thoughts on me ?
approx. 22/14/4.0 over 500+ hands.
I recognize you as a good regular and avoid you unless I think I have an edge of some kind, particularly if I have good position on you.
You play about twice as many hands from CO and BTN as other positions, which is good. It means you pay close attention to position when entering a pot.
You seem a little predictably aggressive post flop, which can be a problem vs somebody in position willing to call you down when you 3-barrel light, and/or somebody willing to play back at your predictable cb's, especially on low flops.
You might also lose some value vs bluffs and weaker hands by failing to give them a free turn once in a while to disguise your good hands and pick up a bet or call on the river. In other words, you probably blow guys off hands on the turn with many hands that would otherwise pay you off for a value bet on the river (or make a bluff bet that you can call) if you slowed down a street. Your went to show down is only 15%, and your won $ at show down is 42% - meaning that you probably made most of your money from this sample of hands in pots that you didn't take to showdown, and that you are pushing less than premium hands that (when called) are not the winner. You just don't get called much.
Of course, your style also means that your big hands often get paid off in big pots since villain's think you are "bluffing" fairly often.
And, obviously, you are winning. I just think some *selective* passivity, particularly in position vs many aggro opponents on later streets, often wins more and looses less than constantly trying to blow guys off their hands before the river. I bet you don't call bluff ever, either. Sometimes, vs some opponents, that works pretty well when you're on the button.
FWIW, I have a 2.5 AF post-flop, and 24.5% Went to Show Down with 58% Won $ at Show Down - since I'm often (not always, and not without a read) going to show down in position with a good hand letting worse hands bet into me without blowing them off every time.
On the otherhand, you are winning 12PTBB/100 over my small sample, so if it's working for you and you like it, then keep doing what you're doing. And I'll keep trying to avoid you.