*****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!***** - Page 7 - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

I have delayed my shots at 50NL on purpose, knowing that I need a psychological safety margin. Basically I'm taking my shots once I have 25 buy-ins. Even if I take a severe beating for 4BI, it won't affect my bankroll that much.

Then, knowing that I can climb back up from the $1k mark with relative ease, I can just rebuild at a level I'm definitely comfortable at.

Taking shots -> getting owned -> moving back down -> I still have bankroll to weather a downswing.

As for everything in life, the basic principle applies: hope for the best, prepare for the worst.

02-02-2009 , 11:03 AM

#152

TheDataKid

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 3,866

My principle is more: Go for the best, prepare for the best

50NL really doesn't play that different then 25NL, maybe some more good regulars but really, it's not like all of a sudden everybody is making fancy places and is 3-betting you with air and *****

if you can beat 25NL with a good BB/100 and you having a winning style for a certain amount of hands, you will have a winning style at 50NL

I love the thread from Pokey about this subject

02-02-2009 , 11:04 AM

#153

pele02

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 4,531

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDataKid

Link it kid!

<----- To lazy to search right now

02-02-2009 , 11:08 AM

#154

TheDataKid

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 3,866

http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/show...Number=7392389

02-02-2009 , 11:10 AM

#155

pele02

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 4,531

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDataKid

http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/show...Number=7392389

thanks

02-02-2009 , 12:22 PM

#156

CaptVimes

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 2,810

Quote:

Originally Posted by xxrod17xx

such a frustrating session...i can never get ne thing going

lol, I'll email you a graph of my last 28k hands.

02-02-2009 , 12:26 PM

#157

TheDataKid

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 3,866

everybody running bad again? haha
it's that period of the year?

02-02-2009 , 12:43 PM

#158

xxrod17xx

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 3,763

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDataKid

everybody running bad again? haha
it's that period of the year?

YES

02-02-2009 , 12:44 PM

#159

PokerRon247

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 11,192

For the maths/stats guys.... how often are you supposed to run into set over set?

02-02-2009 , 12:53 PM

#160

Autist18

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 2,837

Quote:

Originally Posted by PokerRon247

For the maths/stats guys.... how often are you supposed to run into set over set?

If you flop a set, it's 50/50 - you are either crushed by a higher set or he will spike a two outer with his overpair on the river.

No really, I've heard if you flop a set, it's something like 1% that they also have a set.

I might be way off with this one.

02-02-2009 , 12:58 PM

#161

richbrown360

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 4,571

Quote:

Originally Posted by HappyPixel

brag: snow! and lots of it!

Its sick isn't it!

Actually feels like a proper winter.

02-02-2009 , 01:04 PM

#162

TheDataKid

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 3,866

come live here, we have winter al winter long, I hate it
way to cold for me,
I am going to live in Spain or something when I make money playing the pokah

you got internet there too, i heard

02-02-2009 , 01:15 PM

#163

brocksavage1

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 12,587

Quote:

Originally Posted by PokerRon247

For the maths/stats guys.... how often are you supposed to run into set over set?

1/100 times or 1% of the time.

02-02-2009 , 01:23 PM

#164

Conan776

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 3,748

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDataKid

everybody running bad again? haha
it's that period of the year?

Won 4 BI yesterday in ~790 hands, but I'm a contrary indicator.

Quote:

Originally Posted by PokerRon247

For the maths/stats guys.... how often are you supposed to run into set over set?

That depends a lot as to whether you are set mining with low pairs.

If you and you opponents are playing any pair from any position, and you flop bottom set, in Full Ring by the river it's something like 9% , according to Aarron Brown. On the flop, using his reasoning, it's (6/990)*9 = 5.4%.

Edit: maybe that should be (6/990)*8 for 9 handed FR?

02-02-2009 , 01:27 PM

#165

PokerRon247

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 11,192

And you flop a set about 1 in 150 hands right?

02-02-2009 , 01:27 PM

#166

Conan776

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 3,748

Quote:

Originally Posted by pele02

So how is it's called Football

Why is American soccer European foolball but American football isn't European soccer?

02-02-2009 , 01:30 PM

#167

Conan776

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 3,748

Quote:

Originally Posted by PokerRon247

And you flop a set about 1 in 150 hands right?

Um, 1 in 7 times. Are you playing pairs too aggressively and folding out all the villains pre-flop?

02-02-2009 , 01:32 PM

#168

Cangurino

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 13,476

one in 7 times you have a pair. and you have a pair one in 17. looks like... hmmm 1 in 119 to me or so if you play every pair

02-02-2009 , 01:34 PM

#169

PokerRon247

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 11,192

I mean 1 in every 150 hands you are dealt, not every pp

02-02-2009 , 01:37 PM

#170

Conan776

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 3,748

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cangurino

one in 7 times you have a pair. and you have a pair one in 17. looks like... hmmm 1 in 119 to me or so if you play every pair

Oh right, I was thinking of "hands" in terms of hands we are set mining with to begin with.

Edit: Yeah Ron, 1 in 150 is well withing a standard deviation or so here, AFAIK. Keep in mind I got a gentleman's C in high school statistics though....

02-02-2009 , 01:38 PM

#171

PokerRon247

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 11,192

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cangurino

one in 7 times you have a pair. and you have a pair one in 17. looks like... hmmm 1 in 119 to me or so if you play every pair

So by that reckoning you will get set vs set approx every 12k hands. Less if you reckon in that you don't play every pp.

Just checking cos it's happened to me about 5 times in the last 2k hands and I didn't remember it ever happening so often.

02-02-2009 , 01:43 PM

#172

KurtSF

Lucky Number Seven

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 16,471

Quote:

Originally Posted by noidea555

I just looked at the January results thread in the ssfr forum. I'm depressed now.

God, I need to start playing poker again. I ****ing hate having a job. I suppose not being homeless is cool and all, but sometimes I wonder.

Also, mpethy, you are an oak.

02-02-2009 , 01:44 PM

#173

Conan776

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 3,748

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cangurino

My point was that if you valuetown yourself against a drooler who happens to hit the top of his range and you can't shrug it off, you're playing outside of your psychological bankroll, no matter how many buyins you got.

I'd rather be playing outside of my psychological bankroll and playing against opponents who are outside of their psychological bankroll than completely the other way around.

02-02-2009 , 01:47 PM

#174

brocksavage1

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 12,587

Quote:

Originally Posted by KurtSF

God, I need to start playing poker again. I ****ing hate having a job. I suppose not being homeless is cool and all, but sometimes I wonder.

Also, mpethy, you are an oak.

QFT. This is not what I signed up for.....

Of course, maybe I should just be happy I'm employed???

ido.

02-02-2009 , 01:48 PM

#175

KurtSF

Lucky Number Seven

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 16,471

Quote:

Originally Posted by Conan776

Why is American soccer European foolball but American football isn't European soccer?

WTF is up with touchbacks and safeties??
A safety is like a touchdown, but backwards.
A touchback is when the ball is downed in the endzone safely.

And I'm not even going to mention Canadian Bacon.

Page 7 of 68

First

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 17 27 57

Last

Closed Thread Subscribe

...

Page 7 of 68

First

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 17 27 57

Last