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***The OFFICIAL 2013 Microgaming Regulars Thread*** ***The OFFICIAL 2013 Microgaming Regulars Thread***

02-25-2013 , 01:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TedMosbyDaPlayer
But how will this work? Will there be a opt in button before every hand? Seems painfull..
dunno, I guess you can switch it on/off globally or separately on every table
02-25-2013 , 02:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TedMosbyDaPlayer
But how will this work? Will there be a opt in button before every hand? Seems painfull..
I'm pretty sure it's global opt in and out
02-25-2013 , 03:09 PM
24h pkr down??
02-25-2013 , 03:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by piedone
dunno, I guess you can switch it on/off globally or separately on every table
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sciolist
I'm pretty sure it's global opt in and out
sounds about right boyz! I like it when the jackpot is this big. But normaly meh. Would prob get the bad rig if i hunt bbj, but not bad enough to win the jackpot.
02-25-2013 , 03:20 PM
I will say it again... if any high volume grinders are interested in swapping some % for the BBJ, send me a PM.
02-25-2013 , 04:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sky1
There is a very good analysis available here:

http://people.math.sfu.ca/~alspach/comp46.pdf

The paper is for bad beat with quads 88s and above, but if we extrapolate the formulas the possibility of being dealt quads and losing to quads in 10max game is 0.00001086. This is based when you see all 5 cards, but sometimes you fold on the flop so the number would drop.

If you pay 0.02c per hand, the jackpot needs to be more than 40 millions to be +EV. (Remember we win only a portion of it)

Math and statistics can be deceiving sometimes.
thats fkn sick, i thought it was way way lower for to be +ev, you havent included the fact that maybe fish like playing bbj tables more over normal tables but i think this is a small difference when most regs are pussys and only 1 open table in the lobby (or 6 with the same bumhunter on each (mr jimmy) and fish will join whatever tables are running which are usually annon or normal
02-25-2013 , 08:17 PM
anyone else having random disconnects from unibet? I'm constantly getting disconnected from the software while internet seems to be working fine...
02-26-2013 , 04:31 AM
4-0

Love A
02-26-2013 , 12:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by waxies_dargle
thats fkn sick, i thought it was way way lower for to be +ev, you havent included the fact that maybe fish like playing bbj tables more over normal tables but i think this is a small difference when most regs are pussys and only 1 open table in the lobby (or 6 with the same bumhunter on each (mr jimmy) and fish will join whatever tables are running which are usually annon or normal
I'm pretty sure that it IS way lower. There was a thread on Party's BBJ many years ago and the conclusion was it was +EV after about 500k.
02-26-2013 , 12:27 PM
Yeah that doesn't seem very likely. Surely it has to be +EV once the average longterm potsize of the bad beat jackpot has been crossed? Like, the bad beat jackpot has never ever crossed the 1$ million mark, somebody has always won it before that point. That in itself surely has to mean that it is likely enough to win it that the 40$ million mark has to be incorrect? This is excluding fees though.

Or am I thinking about this in the wrong way?
02-26-2013 , 01:59 PM
I cannot vouch for the formulas, just used them to calculate the odds.

@IFS, you logic is flawed. Just because it never went beyond a million it does not mean it is +EV. It just means that for the time the BBJ is accumulated (few to several months) enough hands were played for someone to be dealt the qualifying hand.
02-26-2013 , 03:15 PM
You can formula for 10 and 6 hando tables,But here it is,

AS LONG AS YOU ARE BEATING THE RAKE IT IS PLUS EV NO MATTER WHAT SIZE THE BBJ
02-27-2013 , 04:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by UnderCover_Pro
You can formula for 10 and 6 hando tables,But here it is,

AS LONG AS YOU ARE BEATING THE RAKE IT IS PLUS EV NO MATTER WHAT SIZE THE BBJ
i think you are completely wrong, because beating the rake only means, that you are not losing while chasing the bbj, but ev wise it doesn't matter, because without the extra rake it would be even more + ev if you played on normal tables
02-28-2013 , 09:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by piedone
i think you are completely wrong, because beating the rake only means, that you are not losing while chasing the bbj, but ev wise it doesn't matter, because without the extra rake it would be even more + ev if you played on normal tables
If you are beating the rake the 0.50e contribution per hand can be worked out against the EV of hitting by the number of hands played, but there are a lot of variables as a whole.

Four of a kind 8’s or Higher: 0.0000064 or 1 in 156,250
03-01-2013 , 01:55 AM
Just saw Vulcans is a coach on dragthebar.com.... he and his wife, TurkeyBrain.

Last edited by Martin Heidegger; 03-01-2013 at 01:59 AM. Reason: cuz
03-01-2013 , 01:01 PM
Cant understand all the hate towards tomdel. He gives hu is in general a friendly guy and a good player...
03-01-2013 , 07:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TedMosbyDaPlayer
Cant understand all the hate towards tomdel. He gives hu is in general a friendly guy and a good player...
Hi Fish or maybe... longe..Cuz he 1oo% bum.... no play a player.And nit worse than this diamond nit.
03-01-2013 , 08:10 PM
According to a newsletter Stan James has just sent:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Stan James
Our maximum table numbers you can have open has now increased to 5. This may see a further increase to 6 early March.
It's getting the groove back Now my wrong affiliate choice makes me tilt even more...
03-02-2013 , 09:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by UnderCover_Pro
Hi Fish or maybe... longe..Cuz he 1oo% bum.... no play a player.And nit worse than this diamond nit.
Everyone knowes your not a legit mid+ pro so just **** off!
03-02-2013 , 09:30 AM
i haven't had bad exp with tom either. but only playd like 500 hands
03-02-2013 , 10:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TedMosbyDaPlayer
Everyone knowes your not a legit mid+ pro so just **** off!

yep your right...about Tom and now Me well done Chief Inspector Jacques Clouseau.


araknafobi sitting in seat 1 with €4650.00
DMSPSB sitting in seat 2 with €1910.00
racefietsbel sitting in seat 3 with €680.40
NON LEGIT MID STAKES player sitting in seat 4 with €2450.58
Trikiso sitting in seat 5 with €1970.00 Dealer
koloban sitting in seat 6 with €477.00
koloban posted the small blind - €10.00
araknafobi posted the big blind - €20.00

Last edited by UnderCover_Pro; 03-02-2013 at 10:34 AM.
03-02-2013 , 10:55 AM
Lol what? Must have been last summer the last time araknafobi had enough for 1020. So what you're saying is, some time in the last year or 2 you played a 10/20 table? well done mate
03-02-2013 , 11:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FionnMac
Lol what? Must have been last summer the last time araknafobi had enough for 1020. So what you're saying is, some time in the last year or 2 you played a 10/20 table? well done mate
hahahahaa........ look CrazyE worked out one of my SNs about 2 yrs ago.
True to his word he has never outted it, not that I play on that account anymore.Or venture often above 5/10 on MG these days.

Just for brags I took jepsons last 20k on MG also

Last edited by UnderCover_Pro; 03-02-2013 at 11:21 AM.
03-02-2013 , 12:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by UnderCover_Pro
yep your right...about Tom and now Me well done Chief Inspector Jacques Clouseau.


araknafobi sitting in seat 1 with €4650.00
DMSPSB sitting in seat 2 with €1910.00
racefietsbel sitting in seat 3 with €680.40
NON LEGIT MID STAKES player sitting in seat 4 with €2450.58
Trikiso sitting in seat 5 with €1970.00 Dealer
koloban sitting in seat 6 with €477.00
koloban posted the small blind - €10.00
araknafobi posted the big blind - €20.00
You are 100% a fish. This must be like 3-4years old LOL...
03-02-2013 , 12:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TedMosbyDaPlayer
+1 man. Now i only play nl100 and 200 atm.

Lets just say I have been playing MSNL/HSNL on numerous poker clients for a long time.I have played against pros past and present some well known others not.The whole point of the hand was to show when you were grinding freerolls
I was and am a non legit MSNL pro.

Oh and the diamond nit was a joke aimed at a player who I think posts here.

      
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