(NL50) set, check behind, or bet? - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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(NL50) set, check behind, or bet?

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07-09-2008 , 02:29 PM

billxo1b

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 2,103

villain 12/6/1.1 over 900 hands, fold to cb 50%.

Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players

UTG: $9.25
UTG+1: $54.70
MP1: $31.50
MP2: $47.90
CO: $53.05
Hero (BTN): $50.00
SB: $59.45
BB: $52.10

Pre Flop: Hero is BTN with 8

5 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, 1 fold, BB calls $1

Flop: ($3.25) 8

(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.50, BB calls $2.50

Turn: ($8.25) 5

(2 players)
BB checks, Hero ?

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07-09-2008 , 03:06 PM

SretiCentV

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 3,693

I check here. You get no action from hands that you beat with the board being so scary

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07-09-2008 , 04:34 PM

Don Melchor

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 5,669

I would bet, no reason do give a 10 an extra card

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07-09-2008 , 04:37 PM

Berge20

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 9,370

How often does Hero steal and how often does SB defend his blind there?

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07-09-2008 , 05:13 PM

billxo1b

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 2,103

Quote:

Originally Posted by Berge20

How often does Hero steal and how often does SB defend his blind there?

from my memory, hero probably steals ~30%, and BB's fold to steal ~80%

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07-09-2008 , 05:48 PM

gman339

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 3,449

I'm firing again. Draws may pay to see another card, but you won't get any money out of them on the river when the miss.

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07-09-2008 , 06:19 PM

SammyG-SD

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 12,600

Quote:

Originally Posted by gman339

I'm firing again. Draws may pay to see another card, but you won't get any money out of them on the river when the miss.

best reason to bet, and I don't like pot control in this spot. Bet about 1/2 the pot.

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07-09-2008 , 06:26 PM

correctdecision

centurion

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 188

I'm betting this turn. Even though the flop is dangerous to our hand, it doesn't really hit villain's range. Sure he'll play his full range against your button raise, but that's mostly restricted to pairs, suited aces, and overcards to this board. This makes the 5c a brick.

You have to bet here, hoping that the tens and club draws he would play will call you down without proper odds.

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07-09-2008 , 06:50 PM

Sounded Simple

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 4,272

His most probable for a nit holding is TT-QQ.
Id proceed on that basis which for me means 2 more streets ~1/2 pot.

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07-09-2008 , 08:53 PM

#10

_zatoichi_9

centurion

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 165

I don't think the 5 is a complete brick, but it's got to be close. I bet, and I bet more than half the pot. 2pr or underset or overpair among other things are in his range. You prob won't get a ton of calls here with anything less than a scared two pair or overpair anyways, but half the pot is way too cheap imho.

zat

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