Is this good combo to use as a river bluff because as played he should have a decent amount of club draws that missed? Villain is 30/21/9 Agression factor 1.5 across 350 hands, has 0/16 raise cbet stat so that does imply his c/r being more value heavy but his turn check reduces his value combos to stuff like JT/QT/AT imo everything else should be some kind of draw.

PokerStars - $0.40 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (SB): 107.5 BB
BB: 156.23 BB
UTG: 55.43 BB
CO: 86.73 BB
BTN: 109.78 BB

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9 7

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) T 3 6
Hero bets 2 BB, BB raises to 6 BB, Hero calls 4 BB

Turn: (18 BB, 2 players) K
Hero checks, BB checks

River: (18 BB, 2 players) 4
Hero ??

Think if you're going to call the flop bet with a gutshot you need to be willing to win the pot without hitting to make it profitable so guess you have to fire.

On the other hand I feel like villain has showdown value given I think if he had a draw the K makes a great card to continue the semi-bluff on so his check back doesn't make a lot of sense if he's got a hand like Ac5c which you could bluff him off on the river.

Bet sizing wise I go about 11.5BBs on river. You can have the K here I guess. Would rather try and avoid spots like this though and perhaps folding pre is a better option.

Unsure overall - be interested to hear what people think. On this river though I think you can get enough folds to make a 2/3rds ish bet profitable on the river.

just fold when he raises flop, especially since he hasn't raised a cbet yet

also i think this is a flop where you check a lot and bet big when you do bet, not positive tho

gotta bet river with how you played it, the question is whether we're betting big to try to fold out the T or betting small to just fold out better unpaired (missed clubs) hands than ours

check raise flop or check fold flop - dont do the lame ass 1/3 on that board

as played fold to the flop raise

river:
I wont bet small - that may induce a bluff raise
what would you bet if you had a Tx, Kx here?
I go somewhere between 1/2 - 2/3 pot

Flop is solver-approved

Bluff river for 1/2

Wrong hand with which to bet small because you encourage more floats, basically all of which are ahead. A better hand with which to bet small would be 2c2x, 4c4x-5c5x

Calling the raise isnt terrible as you are getting amazing odds...just dont feel compelled to then defend wide vs a turn bet.

River: YOU have a lot of missed flushdraws as well...why cant villain snap you off with Tx? You only seem to rep KcXc and your hand doesn't block any of the good Tx combos with which villain will call.

A better bluff candidate would be QcJc.

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otf i think this is a bigger bet?

otr you fire medium to small imo