I play 15/12

Villain is 15/9 over 9k hands
MP open 14%
fold to 3bet 50%
cbet 74%
turn cbet 61%
wtds 27%

his hand looks like KJ, KQ, AK going for thin value vs 99-QQ
do you like raising river in this spot?

I'd question calling the turn bet. The turn is not a great second barrel card since it is small, and the villain still bets. It is still possible that he is trying to get us off our hand, but there is a good chance that he has a pair of kings or better. I'd probably fold to the turn bet.

Your thoughts on the river have some merit, but it is possible that he has put you on a hand like QQ-99 and he is betting small with a strong hand to induce a crying call or raise. Also, river raises often look like last minute attempts to steal the pot and you may still be looked up by a pair of kings.

We have no confidence that our bluff will work, and our hand certainly isn't best, so folding the river is best. If you were going to raise as a bluff, you should have done it earlier.

what do you rep with a river raise? 77 and thats it (and I doubt most ppl see the river often with 77)

I really don´t understand this kind of thinking, ah, his betsizing seems week, lets make an absolute nonmakingsense raise and see if it works.

ah, 3bet pre

Do you fold tp+ in this spot in villain shoes?

i can rep a slowplayed set, because board is very dry

but it works like at least 3 out of 4 times , because bad nits gonna nit

not everybody is excellent hand-reader

vs most regs i would fold tp+

yea don´t know, you played 9k hands vs villain, I would raise a set lets say 9.9/10 on the turn
I think btw that we have the best hand a good amount of the time and that we don´t have to bluff here (except it works 3/4 times