The opener is 11/8/2.5 nit reg (500 hands) with a fold to 3b of 100%.
The real villain is good reg, 16/16/4 (3k hands) 3b OTB 10%, fold to 4b 67%, and my notes say he called a 4b ip w/ K8s and made a re-steal otb w/ 33.
My 3betting and 4betting has been all over the place lately and my thinking has been skewed. This strikes me as a great spot for a 4b - the nit is more than likely to fold anything except AA/KK; the button will call with a wide range that I am ahead of or even dominate. Anybody disagree with or have anything to add to my reasoning?
[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By
Holdem Manager - The Ultimate
Poker Software Suite. View Hand
#10347312
BTN: $61.55 (123.1 bb)
Hero (SB): $98.60 (197.2 bb)
BB: $55.40 (110.8 bb)
UTG+1: $46.25 (92.5 bb)
UTG+2: $50 (100 bb)
MP1: $51.50 (103 bb)
MP2: $48.25 (96.5 bb)
MP3: $50 (100 bb)
CO: $20.65 (41.3 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with Q

A

4 folds,
MP3 raises to $1.50,
CO folds,
BTN raises to $4.50,
Hero raises to $11