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nl50 - 4b here? nl50 - 4b here?

08-22-2011 , 11:20 AM
The opener is 11/8/2.5 nit reg (500 hands) with a fold to 3b of 100%.
The real villain is good reg, 16/16/4 (3k hands) 3b OTB 10%, fold to 4b 67%, and my notes say he called a 4b ip w/ K8s and made a re-steal otb w/ 33.

My 3betting and 4betting has been all over the place lately and my thinking has been skewed. This strikes me as a great spot for a 4b - the nit is more than likely to fold anything except AA/KK; the button will call with a wide range that I am ahead of or even dominate. Anybody disagree with or have anything to add to my reasoning?


[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #10347312

BTN: $61.55 (123.1 bb)
Hero (SB): $98.60 (197.2 bb)
BB: $55.40 (110.8 bb)
UTG+1: $46.25 (92.5 bb)
UTG+2: $50 (100 bb)
MP1: $51.50 (103 bb)
MP2: $48.25 (96.5 bb)
MP3: $50 (100 bb)
CO: $20.65 (41.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q A
4 folds, MP3 raises to $1.50, CO folds, BTN raises to $4.50, Hero raises to $11
nl50 - 4b here? Quote
08-22-2011 , 01:11 PM
I think folding is best. AQs may be slightly ahead of the BTN's range, but by 4-betting he won't be continuing with anything worse. Calling is not that great since we are out of position, and of course there is the original raiser. If he stays in the hand at all, our hand is looking grim.

Some might consider 4-betting here with AQs to bluff, but you have to get the BB, MP3 and BTN all to fold. And you have no blockers to KK. So I'm not fond of bluffing here.
nl50 - 4b here? Quote
08-22-2011 , 01:19 PM
i would love it with a different OR, vs. a nit open i dont think villain 3bets light...might be, but it is unlikely. also there is still a nit in the hand....
nl50 - 4b here? Quote
08-22-2011 , 01:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brimstead
The real villain is good reg, 16/16/4 (3k hands) 3b OTB 10%, fold to 4b 67%, and my notes say he called a 4b ip w/ K8s and made a re-steal otb w/ 33.
Doesn't sound like a good reg to me. In fact how the **** do you play 16/16 in a 3k sample? This guy never cold calls? He's making all sorts of preflop mistakes.

Anyway. Yeah, I think this is fine; but AFAIC I'm still treating this as a bluff against both players. I'd want some corroborating evidence before I'm assuming that I can cold 4bet AQs for value against a reg.
nl50 - 4b here? Quote

      
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