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[NL5] Folded second nuts OTR with a made straight [NL5] Folded second nuts OTR with a made straight

07-09-2014 , 12:28 AM
40/2 super passive fish with an AF of 10% over a reasonable sample. I have seen him doing this with the nutflush twice already. I believe he can do this raise with sets and straights. When he does this it's 100% value. I think he can do this with QQ-TT,77-66,AKs,K9s,AKo,K9o, and versus this range we have 35% equity. Thoughts?



    Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #28722081

    BB: $5 (100 bb)
    UTG: $9.60 (192 bb)
    MP: $14.32 (286.4 bb)
    CO: $6.15 (123 bb)
    BTN: $4 (80 bb)
    Hero (SB): $5 (100 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with 9 8
    UTG raises to $0.14, MP calls $0.14, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.12, BB folds

    Flop: ($0.47) T Q 6 (3 players)
    Hero checks, UTG checks, MP checks

    Turn: ($0.47) J (3 players)
    Hero bets $0.32, UTG folds, MP calls $0.32

    River: ($1.11) 7 (2 players)
    Hero bets $0.74, MP raises to $3.28, Hero folds

    Spoiler:
    Results: $2.59 pot ($0.11 rake)
    Final Board: T Q 6 J 7
    MP mucked and won $2.48 ($1.28 net)
    Hero mucked 9 8 and lost (-$1.20 net)



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    [NL5] Folded second nuts OTR with a made straight Quote
    07-09-2014 , 12:39 AM
    Call, there's a bunch of 2 pair he could do this with too.
    [NL5] Folded second nuts OTR with a made straight Quote
    07-09-2014 , 03:31 AM
    Not second nuts.

    Pot turn and river. Passive fish doesn't minde betsize much so extract max value. Now call. We get 2:1 pot odds, which means your calculated 35 % equity is enough. His range is probably wider than you think too.

    Personally I like to donk bet my draws otf.
    [NL5] Folded second nuts OTR with a made straight Quote
    07-09-2014 , 03:47 AM
    Call. This is a spot where we are happy getting it in vs the range of hands we're up against.
    [NL5] Folded second nuts OTR with a made straight Quote
    07-09-2014 , 04:41 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by apple tree
    Not second nuts.

    Pot turn and river. Passive fish doesn't minde betsize much so extract max value. Now call. We get 2:1 pot odds, which means your calculated 35 % equity is enough. His range is probably wider than you think too.

    Personally I like to donk bet my draws otf.

    Thanks, and personally I like to C/R all my draws instead of donking. Multiway I'd prefer to just call it.
    [NL5] Folded second nuts OTR with a made straight Quote
    07-09-2014 , 08:55 AM
    x/r or donk are both fine with the fish last to act, I prefer donking though unless you know UTG cbets a lot in this spot or the fish bets lots of flops (both unlikely).

    Bet bigger on turn and river, and gii on the river. I wouldn't make a habit of folding the top of your range vs a fish too often in a spot like this.
    [NL5] Folded second nuts OTR with a made straight Quote
    07-09-2014 , 09:23 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by TWhelan
    and gii on the river.

    Of course. We shouldn't just call like I said above, but stick our remaining $1.26 in there as well..
    [NL5] Folded second nuts OTR with a made straight Quote

          
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