Party, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 2 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter
Hero (BTN): $1,249
BB: $1,052
Pre-Flop: 6

Q

dealt to Hero (BTN)
Hero raises to $10,
BB raises to $45, Hero calls $35
Flop: ($90) 8

9

T

(2 Players)
BB bets $70,
Hero raises to $186, BB calls $116
Turn: ($462) J

(2 Players)
BB checks,
Hero bets $272,
BB raises to $821 and is All-In
Villain is decent reg who seems to get very out of line this session. We play 2tables and he is already down 1.5k in less then 200 hands. He is 3beting 25% and calling 10% from bb.
I call pre and raise flop because my image is very good at this point. Flopraise might be too small but i wanted enough money behind to fire 3barrels.
He timed down very long on the flop. Imo that makes combos like qt, q9, q8 less likely because he would bet/snapcall or c/c with them. The timedown also makes kq more likely. I would guess that he 3bet flop with qj 50% of the time.
If i did the math right i need to be splitting 70% to break even without considering that he could have qx+flushdraw.