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NL25 - what's villain's range in this spot?? NL25 - what's villain's range in this spot??

09-05-2011 , 01:23 AM
    Party, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

    BTN: $21 (84 bb)
    SB: $95.90 (383.6 bb)
    BB: $31.88 (127.5 bb)
    CO: $25.68 (102.7 bb)
    Hero (MP): $27.82 (111.3 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is MP with ?? (dont want to start a discussion about my play, so I wont tell you what my hand was)
    Hero raises to $0.85, 3 folds, BB raises to $2.50, Hero calls $1.65

    Flop: ($5.10) 2 7 J (2 players)
    BB bets $2.50, Hero calls $2.50

    Turn: ($10.10) 9 (2 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets $5.50, BB raises to $26.88 and is all-in



    Villain is 28/24/10.9 3bet (13% BB 3bet) over 130 hands. His flop cbet is 70% and his turn cbet is 0% (0/2). His AFq is 43%. What's his range in this spot??
    NL25 - what's villain's range in this spot?? Quote
    09-05-2011 , 01:44 AM
    AA,KK,QQ, AKcc may be AcKx, AxKc
    it also depends on your folding to 3bets %, he may have JJ
    NL25 - what's villain's range in this spot?? Quote
    09-05-2011 , 02:05 AM
    Most likely not the naked Ac-x. His check/raise shows that he was expecting you to bet; do you have a bluffy image? Then maybe the A-x is in his range. Do you have a passive image? Then probably not.

    I don't see many overpairs doing this, but sets definitely can (particularly JJ), T8o, and flushes.


    That analysis would be true at 200NL but at 25NL you get villains spazzing here all the time. It's never a bluff, however, the question is what he does with one-pairs and Ac.
    NL25 - what's villain's range in this spot?? Quote
    09-05-2011 , 03:21 AM
    So what would be the worst hand you would call his shove with in this scenario??
    NL25 - what's villain's range in this spot?? Quote
    09-05-2011 , 03:24 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by zorzak
    So what would be the worst hand you would call his shove with in this scenario??
    QQ
    NL25 - what's villain's range in this spot?? Quote

          
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