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NL25: Two street bluff against weak, bluff happy villain NL25: Two street bluff against weak, bluff happy villain

10-16-2014 , 05:56 AM
PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: $25.78 (VPIP: 16.04, PFR: 15.09, 3Bet Preflop: 3.13, Hands: 106)
UTG: $25.35 (VPIP: 23.81, PFR: 23.81, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 23)
CO: $26.25 (VPIP: 18.75, PFR: 18.75, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 18)
Hero (BTN): $60.91
SB: $43.75 (VPIP: 19.21, PFR: 13.91, 3Bet Preflop: 5.45, Hands: 156)

SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has K Q

UTG raises to $0.75, fold, Hero calls $0.75, fold, fold

Flop: ($1.85, 2 players) 7 3 3
UTG bets $1.32, Hero calls $1.32

Turn: ($4.49, 2 players) 4
UTG bets $2.65, Hero raises to $5.30

I saw villain calling against odds with a FD and betting the river after he missed with K high. Does he 2nd barrel with air often enough to make this line +EV?
NL25: Two street bluff against weak, bluff happy villain Quote
10-16-2014 , 06:10 AM
Pretty awful.

There's not many FD's in an UTG raising range, BTW. AKs-A9s makes 5 combos, KQs, KJs QJs, JTs, maybe T9s makes another 5. So about 10 combos.

Compare that with 6 combos AA, 6 combos KK-QQ, and 24 combos of 88-JJ, all of which are never going to fold. And obviously if he has pocket 7's, pocket 4's, or pocket 3's you're toast. Plus think about the value hands you raise here with. You rep very little since you're in position - if you had the boat or quads you'd just call then raise river. And people don't like folding on paired boards either.

Fold flop.
NL25: Two street bluff against weak, bluff happy villain Quote
10-16-2014 , 06:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DonkeyStars
Pretty awful.

There's not many FD's in an UTG raising range, BTW. AKs-A9s makes 5 combos, KQs, KJs QJs, JTs, maybe T9s makes another 5. So about 10 combos.

Compare that with 6 combos AA, 6 combos KK-QQ, and 24 combos of 88-JJ, all of which are never going to fold. And obviously if he has pocket 7's, pocket 4's, or pocket 3's you're toast. Plus think about the value hands you raise here with. You rep very little since you're in position - if you had the boat or quads you'd just call then raise river. And people don't like folding on paired boards either.

Fold flop.
+1
NL25: Two street bluff against weak, bluff happy villain Quote

      
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