utg is playing 17/12 and open 9% from utg. How should i continue on this board?





[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #12079902

BTN: $22.53 (90.1 bb)
SB: $16.82 (67.3 bb)
Hero (BB): $25 (100 bb)
UTG: $11.05 (44.2 bb)
MP: $29.63 (118.5 bb)
CO: $8.60 (34.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A K
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.70, CO folds, BTN calls $0.70, SB calls $0.60, Hero raises to $3.50, MP calls $2.80, BTN calls $2.80, SB folds

Flop: ($11.20) 2 2 Q (3 players)
Hero bets $6, MP calls $6, BTN folds

Turn: ($23.20) 8 (2 players)
[color="red"]Hero ??

I think he has a strong Q here a lot. Meaning your A or K are not clean outs. He has avery small amount of fds in his range (suited connectors) that got stubborn preflop vs a raise from an obvious squeeze spot. Could have JJ/TT.

You have 2/3 pot left and to bet I think it all comes down to if you think he can fold a queen here. If it's with spades he's never folding and I cant see him finding the fold button to be honest regardless, not the way he's played it so far.

I think you could fold JJ/TT but this is a very small part of his range that might even fold the flop given he wasn't closing the action.

You could bet really small, like $5. This will allow you to call a shove profitably (You have 27% equity vs AQnon spades) or, if they don't ship it you can c/f the river unimproved. Might be good because he's defo not auto shipping a lone Q here and it has the same result as just shipping yourself.

If he has suited connector the small bet will get a call or maybe a ship, both good outcomes seen as we are planning to call a shove. Only problem with this is you might get bluffed off otr is opponent makes no pair and decides only way to win is to bluff.

fold to 3b???
His range pre is 88+ any suited broadway KQo,AQo,AKo.
He calls your squeeze IP.I assume he does this with 10ns,JJ,QQ,KQs,AK(AA,KK would probably 3b preflop,because BU can join this pot with PP for set odds,and KK,AA worth much more in HU pots).
POST FLOP
Again fold to C-Bet stats?????????
How much can you bet OTT???with this sizing I think a shove is your only choice,i f u shove there Villain calling range is QQ,KK,AA.
You can only hope to make V fold JJ,10ns,or complete your FD OTR
IMO C/f....V can hold QQ and u can't beat that.

I had 1 hand sample on fold to 3bet and fold to cbet in 3bet pot.