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NL25, tough spot with AK NL25, tough spot with AK

02-08-2021 , 04:37 AM
Any thoughts on this? Villain prolly has some FD combos which he might want to play aggressively, but then again he has some combos that im way behind.

PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3

BTN: $27.49 (110 bb)
SB: $35.67 (142.7 bb)
BB: $37.87 (151.5 bb)
UTG: $25.56 (102.2 bb)
MP: $48.64 (194.6 bb)
Hero (CO): $30.05 (120.2 bb)

SB posts $0.10, BB posts $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has A K
UTG raises to $0.62, fold, Hero raises to $1.75, 3 folds, UTG calls $1.13

Flop: ($3.85, 2 players) Q A T
UTG checks, Hero bets $1.84, UTG raises to $6.25, Hero calls $4.41

Turn: ($16.35, 2 players) 3
UTG bets $17.56 and is all-in, Hero ???
NL25, tough spot with AK Quote
02-08-2021 , 04:42 AM
Snap call ? Hand is live to a J anyway, A or K may also be good. And there's also a good chance you're ahead.

QQ probably 4bet jams pre, you're really only behind to TT, AQ, AT. Some ATo might fold pre, so you're up against something like 12 value combos.

you have reasonable outs against QT: A, K, 3, J.

I don't think there's any way you can fold.
NL25, tough spot with AK Quote
02-08-2021 , 05:08 AM
Sorry if this is dumb question, but is flop a 100% bet? or can we check back sometimes for our JJ/KK/99 also? or bet smaller?
NL25, tough spot with AK Quote
02-08-2021 , 07:07 AM
in those positions UTG have all sets except aa, definitely aqs, and not that many FD and 1 of them is str8 now, even against pair+FD we are not doing that good, flop is check imo, given ranges, against tight utg i can find fold here
NL25, tough spot with AK Quote
02-08-2021 , 11:41 AM
I would fold this because UTG seems strong. I don't think everyone shoves with QQ pre.
What is he playing with?
TT, QQ, AT, AQ, straight, flushdraw and combo draw.
Versus this range I would fold.
NL25, tough spot with AK Quote
02-08-2021 , 12:36 PM
I'm thinking LJ is not a gto bot. He should have a very narrow calling range here and almost none of that range hits this board. A couple AQs, couple KJs, some TT. The rest would be fd's. Ofc if he's not gto, he could call everything but AA/KK.

Vs a GTO range, i think this is a small range bet bc so much of the gto calling range misses this board, but i doubt villain is gto, so i think maybe a larger less frequent bet is in order here.

Why i think v is not GTO: most of the GTO 3bet calling range is underpairs and sc's. That range should be xc'ing this flop, not xr'ing.
NL25, tough spot with AK Quote

      
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