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[NL25] scared aces facing donkbet in 3bp [NL25] scared aces facing donkbet in 3bp

04-11-2020 , 01:35 PM
Villain is a strange, nitty reg (at least preflop). He is 17/13 with 5% 3bet and 65% fold to 3bet and an UTG RFI of 12 over 850 hands. I've only seen him 4bet AA and AKs, but he also flatted a 2bet with AA once. (I wouldn't say with certainty that he can't have KK in his range OTF).

PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 182.48 BB
BB: 135.96 BB
UTG: 112.92 BB
Hero (MP): 101.96 BB
CO: 94.6 BB
BTN: 36.28 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A A

UTG raises to 3 BB, Hero raises to 9 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls 6 BB

Flop: (19.4 BB, 2 players) 5 Q K
UTG bets 12.36 BB, Hero calls 12.36 BB

Turn: (44.12 BB, 2 players) T
UTG checks, Hero checks

River: (44.12 BB, 2 players) K
UTG checks, Hero bets 12.64 BB
[NL25] scared aces facing donkbet in 3bp Quote
04-11-2020 , 01:49 PM
Unironically check river.
You block AQ, you're not going to ged paid from anything basically.
[NL25] scared aces facing donkbet in 3bp Quote
04-11-2020 , 02:07 PM
Yeah the dilemma OTR was whether to bet/fold small for very thin value or check behind. I think he would very very rarely bluff check-raise me, so that tipped the balance for me.

Turn is clearly a check behind?
[NL25] scared aces facing donkbet in 3bp Quote
04-11-2020 , 07:24 PM
The somewhat surprising results:

Spoiler:

UTG calls 12.64

Hero shows A A (Two Pair, Aces and Kings)
(Pre 81%, Flop 77%, Turn 82%)
UTG mucks J Q (Two Pair, Kings and Queens)
(Pre 19%, Flop 23%, Turn 18%)
Hero wins 66.28 BB
[NL25] scared aces facing donkbet in 3bp Quote

      
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