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nl25, Big draw facing turn raise. nl25, Big draw facing turn raise.

11-26-2008 , 03:59 AM
Been a while since I played the pokers. Villain is 26/5 /0.5 over 50 hands, so I'm guessing passive but havn't really payed attention to him. I'm ~ 34/29. He's obviosly never folding here when I shove so any idea of a range, and if I have enough equity? Have the double gutter + NFD + possible over. I really hate these spots because I always want to see the next card. btw I know I shouldnt call the min raise pf. I get bored.

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

CO: $19.65
BTN: $21.45
Hero (SB): $24.25
BB: $25.00
UTG: $27.25

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with A 9
2 folds, BTN raises to $0.50, Hero calls $0.40, 1 fold

Flop: ($1.25) T 8 Q (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $0.50, Hero raises to $2, BTN calls $1.50

Turn: ($5.25) 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $3.50, BTN raises to $11.25, Hero
nl25, Big draw facing turn raise. Quote
11-26-2008 , 09:42 AM
Well, you don't have any FE... You have to call 7.75 in a pot of 20 and with 15 outs you have ~31% chance of improving so you're not getting the odds to call...

If you hit though you're very likely to get the rest of villains stack (he'll have about $8 left by then so he'll be pot committed) so implied odds make up for this.

I dunno, guess it's kinda break-even. So if you don't mind the variance you could call but a fold isn't bad either I think.
nl25, Big draw facing turn raise. Quote
11-26-2008 , 03:28 PM
Just based on the express pot odds, you only need a 28% chance of winning to call his turn raise ($7.75 to call and make a pot of $27.75). If you have 15 clean outs, that gives you 33% pot equity. Furthermore, you may be able to win if you spike an ace on the river, so you may have up to 18 outs, for 39% pot equity on the turn. Finally, you should have an excellent chance of getting the rest of his stack on the river if you do hit.

Easy call.

Oh, and you might be ahead of another big draw (e.g., K J ).
nl25, Big draw facing turn raise. Quote
11-26-2008 , 03:53 PM
Really 3 options here:

Fold
Call
Push

Seems like if you push he's going to call for sure so why not call the turn bet and see if you get one of your outs. If you miss your outs then at least you've saved yourself the extra $$ and if you hit you can push on the river and he would have to call given the pots odds he would have.

Folding is an ok option but hand seems like it's at least strong enough to call....

Call>Fold>Push
nl25, Big draw facing turn raise. Quote
11-26-2008 , 05:17 PM
Quote:
I'm ~ 34/29
Holy crap!
nl25, Big draw facing turn raise. Quote
11-26-2008 , 05:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Uppercut
Holy crap!
Sorry I accidently posted this in full ring. But thanks for the answers they still apply to 6 max.
nl25, Big draw facing turn raise. Quote

      
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