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nl25, AQ Flops TP, facing large river bet... nl25, AQ Flops TP, facing large river bet...

05-12-2012 , 09:45 AM
Over 300 hands on villain, 18/15/2.0 47% AF. -50BB/100 hands. Only 1/4 WAS. Can't ever recall him barreling like this post.

No Limit Hold'em $0.10/$0.25
Merge Network
6 players
Formatted by pokercopilot.com - Mac OS X hand history analysis and tracking

Stacks:
UTG - UTG ($31.78)
MP - MP ($25.00)
CO - CO ($9.71)
BTN - Hero ($55.98)
SB - SB ($56.19)
BB - BB ($25.89)

Preflop: ($0.35, 6 players) Hero is BTN with Q A
UTG raises to $0.85, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.85, 2 folds

Flop: A K 5 ($2.05, 2 players)
UTG bets $1.53, Hero calls $1.53

Turn: 7 ($5.11, 2 players)
UTG bets $3.83, Hero calls $3.83

River: 4 ($12.77, 2 players)
UTG bets $9.57, Hero???
nl25, AQ Flops TP, facing large river bet... Quote
05-12-2012 , 09:46 AM
Folding is obviously fine once the flush comes in.
nl25, AQ Flops TP, facing large river bet... Quote
05-12-2012 , 11:04 AM
What does he have in his UTG range that barrels and you beat? What does he have in his UTG range that barrels and you lose to?
nl25, AQ Flops TP, facing large river bet... Quote
05-12-2012 , 11:32 AM
He seems to be a tight, what makes your call preflop a little bit thin. AJ and KQ are possibly the only hands you dominate and he might not even have AJ in his UTG opening range. I'd probably 3-bet or fold preflop, unless he has some postflop leaks which we can exploit.

As played, you should fold on the turn. I don't think he bets anything worse for value and we don't know enough about him, so we can't say if he is capable of playing a hand like 22 this way.

It's an easy fold on the river!
nl25, AQ Flops TP, facing large river bet... Quote
05-12-2012 , 11:43 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by U No Call ?!
He seems to be a tight, what makes your call preflop a little bit thin. AJ and KQ are possibly the only hands you dominate and he might not even have AJ in his UTG opening range. I'd probably 3-bet or fold preflop, unless he has some postflop leaks which we can exploit.

As played, you should fold on the turn. I don't think he bets anything worse for value and we don't know enough about him, so we can't say if he is capable of playing a hand like 22 this way.

It's an easy fold on the river!
Preflop is fine, by 3betting your turning your hand into a bluff with your above reasoning as we fold out these dominated hands and he only has better hands in his calling range. Folding AQ on the button to one raise is pretty ridic is 6-max from any position. Postflop I think you should fold the river looks alot like AK/AA/KK to me as I feel he is checking AJ/AT otr if you can't recall him barreling then its pretty unlikely he has air so I think its a fold.
nl25, AQ Flops TP, facing large river bet... Quote
05-12-2012 , 11:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FineWan
Preflop is fine, by 3betting your turning your hand into a bluff with your above reasoning as we fold out these dominated hands and he only has better hands in his calling range.
Yes i thought of 3-bettung as a bluff.
nl25, AQ Flops TP, facing large river bet... Quote
05-12-2012 , 07:12 PM
Don't turn a hand as strong as AQ into a bluff...
nl25, AQ Flops TP, facing large river bet... Quote
05-13-2012 , 09:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by U No Call ?!
Yes i thought of 3-bettung as a bluff.
Is he actually folding anything better than AQ? Maybe 99/TT or even occasionally JJ. But bluffing with AQ here is terribad.
nl25, AQ Flops TP, facing large river bet... Quote
05-13-2012 , 09:12 AM
preflop IP is fine unless. if we were oop then i would remotely think about folding AQo if V is really tight from EP.

fold turn is def an option here.
nl25, AQ Flops TP, facing large river bet... Quote

      
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