Villain is 19/11/3 after 86 hands, so yeah, sorta nitty stats but small sample.

PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP: 112.32 BB
CO: 119.96 BB
BTN: 100 BB
SB: 111.48 BB
BB: 116.44 BB
Hero (UTG): 120.64 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A K

Hero raises to 3 BB, MP raises to 9 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 6 BB

Flop: (19.4 BB, 2 players) A 3 5
Hero checks, MP bets 10.2 BB, Hero calls 10.2 BB

Turn: (39.8 BB, 2 players) Q
Hero checks, MP bets 20.92 BB, Hero calls 20.92 BB

River: (81.64 BB, 2 players) 9
Hero checks, MP bets 42.88 BB, fold

MP wins 77.96 BB

Call river? Feels like I am chopping at best.

Have you considered bluffing river when the spade hits because you have the nuts blocker?


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It crossed my mind but in the moment I sorta felt I just have too much SDV if it goes check check.

Makes sense, but then you probably should be calling.


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Preflop I’d like to see a 4! GTO wizard has it split between a shove and a raise to 22BB (facing a slightly different sizing) with calling only happening 2.5% of the time.

AP, I like your x/c line. The board is fry and static, so you have almost no draws to worry about.

I don’t see any reason to abandon the plan now. The most likely flush/combo draws are now impossible. V can’t have AK spades, AQ spades, KQ spade, or QJ of spades. So you don’t really have to worry much about the bdfd. Sure QQ is possible, but there are only 3 combos.

River completes bdfd, but as before, it’s just not likely that V bet a random back door OTF.



Yes, there are hands that beat us, but only a few as V should have no 33 or 55. You need to defend roughly 2/3 of your hands. And you are at the top of your range as AA and QQ are 3! pre. This seems like a slam dunk call.


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I agree, 4 bet pre.

If you are not going to 4 bet pre, then get ready to take the pot down on the flop with a big check raise if you get a flop you like.

Playing out of position and calling all the way down is not the way to go, you have tp/tk, just get the hand over with.

Magnum

4bet pre all day every day. C-raise flop. You played way to passive. Were you hoping to flop a str8 or something ? AP river is an easy call your hand is very under repped. Plus you block NF which is a big deal

Copy this one.
I do have this one as a standard call vs MP in my charts, so call not bad pre okay.

We want a nice raise here on the flop. Our nitty guy isn't really 3betting 33 and 55 from that position. So only combo that beats is AA.

As played, we want to give this a call on the river, Don't think villain is betting for BD flush. They may have the same hand as yours.

But, if we raised the flop, we take charge of the betting, and can x/x or x/c river.

I've seen worse when I use to play 2nl. I can remember thinking I've won a pot only to find I was called on all 3 streets by a set

Pre call is fine as long as you’re not doing it 100% of the time. Can’t fold this river, hard to imagine he’s value betting worse but it could be a chop. We have great blockers blocking AA and nut flushes. What hand would you rather call here? We’ll have Asxs and QQ some, can’t imagine that’s enough to defend with so we have to bluff catch some, this is one of our best combos.

Plus the fact we can chop makes it a much better bluff catcher than our others.

I know it's a 4b/gii pre in theory, however, guy is a 3% 3b after atleast somewhat of a sample. Also, idk about you guys, but my experience is that if I gii here UTG vs UTG+1, AKo is never ever good. Like, I never see anything worse than QQ/AK vs someone who isn't way too laggy. Is it just me? I mean, I know I sometimes and hopefully tid w/ A 4bet, but yeah.

In retrospect, yeah, folding river is probably too weak.