NL20 TPTK river secision - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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NL20 TPTK river secision

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05-28-2012 , 07:12 PM

sblga

centurion

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 161

BTN: 65/17/2.8 in 100 hands
BB: 18/12/1.2/3bet 2.3/squeeze 4.3 in 600 hands

I call BB squeeze because I whant to involve fish on bth into the pot. Call flop for the same reason on such a dry board. That do you think about my thinking line? What is the best turn decision?

$0.10/$0.20 No Limit Holdem
5 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
sblga (UTG) ($23.79)
CO ($27.16)
BTN ($22.75)
SB ($24.17)
BB ($22.86)

Pre-Flop: ($0.30, 5 players) sblga is UTG A

sblga raises to $0.60, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.60, 1 fold, BB raises to $2.20, sblga calls $1.60, BTN calls $1.60

Flop: K

($5.50, 3 players)
BB bets $5, sblga calls $5, BTN folds

Turn: 7

($15.50, 2 players)
BB goes all-in $15.66, sblga ???

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05-28-2012 , 07:33 PM

PeoplesElbow

banned

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 10,847

id just fold turn, yes were at the top of our range, but with a 1.2% 3bet, its always KK+ given there flop and turn sizing.

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05-28-2012 , 07:41 PM

LimpFoldAces

adept

Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 917

Everthing seems to be fine, i like the logic. BB's 3bet range here will be very narrow so i don't think we should 4bet and yes we do want to keep BTN in the hand.

Call and expect to split the pot. If he coolered you with AA, then i'd shrug my shoulders and move on.

P.S. What is your Fold to 3bet stat?

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05-28-2012 , 07:42 PM

LimpFoldAces

adept

Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 917

Quote:

Originally Posted by PeoplesElbow

id just fold turn, yes were at the top of our range, but with a 1.2% 3bet, its always KK+ given there flop and turn sizing.

His 3bet is 2.3% but 4.3% squeeze.

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05-29-2012 , 05:41 AM

PeoplesElbow

banned

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 10,847

600 hand is not alot, and even then 4% squeeze is low. May of been they had a monster a few times there were overcalls. Just the size of the flop and turn bets, this is rarley a bluff from reg. Never seen that line before.

you have the 3rd nuts on that board, I dont rarley fold that hand as it would be near the top of my range, but given villian stats and bet sizing, I think i can fold, and think him for his stupid bet sizing. Weak passive betting near pot on two streets.

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05-29-2012 , 05:44 AM

krooto

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 426

call
AK is more frequently than AA

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05-29-2012 , 05:51 AM

thepaul1

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 2,184

Quote:

Originally Posted by krooto

call
AK is more frequently than AA

+1, add one random combo of anything that doesn't beat us to his range and it's a call:

ProPokerTools Hold'em Simulation

484 trials (Exhaustive)

board: K

Hand	Pot equity	Wins	Ties
AhKh	35.95%	42	264
AA-KK, AK, 6d5d	64.05%	178	264

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05-29-2012 , 06:24 AM

krooto

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 426

Quote:

Originally Posted by thepaul1

+1, add one random combo of anything that doesn't beat us to his range and it's a call:

ProPokerTools Hold'em Simulation

484 trials (Exhaustive)

board: K

Hand	Pot equity	Wins	Ties
AhKh	35.95%	42	264
AA-KK, AK, 6d5d	64.05%	178	264

I think even without adding 6d5d this is call because of dead money

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05-29-2012 , 06:46 AM

sblga

centurion

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 161

Quote:

Originally Posted by LimpFoldAces

P.S. What is your Fold to 3bet stat?

70%

Do you think his squeeze range could be wider with more4 Kx hands? KQ, KJ, KT?

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