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nl10 TPGK gets 3-bettet after only calling a tiny donk nl10 TPGK gets 3-bettet after only calling a tiny donk

12-31-2014 , 08:32 AM
I open with KQ and 3 people calls, SB donks only 2 bb and BB only calls, so i raise with TPGK, SB folds and think for a while, then he 3-bets, my thoughts were, he would raise most of time 2 pairs and also sets, so he has a draw, maybe a combodraw.
The question is, it is better to just call and hope for a non diamond or it is better to shove like i did.
If he has a combodraw ( i dint think this far, it should be JdTd or 9dxd) so every K or 8 and every diamond or 9 can be the hit, but if he play all hands like he would hit, it would be difficult to play against, on the other hand, i would save money, if a diamond falls on turn, so i can fold and if a card like 5non diamond or so falls, i could bet big or go allin then, what do you think.
And i could fold flop too, but like i said, he would rarely just call with 99 on this board, o.k. could be to induce or hope to get Flush over FH, i dont know exactly.

Not diamond, but cube.

I just run the scenario analyser, so any cube on turn would be a clear fold, every 9 too, with 8 i have 34.66% Equity and with all other cards i have more the 50% Equity on turn, so 13 cards i have to fold, 3 cards i have 35% Equity and the rest im far ahead thinking he has this range.

JcTc,Jc9c,Tc9c,9c8c

If i added sets of 3 (just to take 4 of the possible sets) i have awful Equity.
With all the deadmoney and my raise on flop i only need 36% Equity if he everytime calls (what should be the case), so all hang on the possible sets, with 4 possible sets i have only 25% Equity discounting the sets to 2 i have enouph.

PokerStars - €0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 43.7 BB (VPIP: 38.78, PFR: 16.33, 3Bet Preflop: 4.76, Hands: 52)
CO: 159.8 BB (VPIP: 30.00, PFR: 26.67, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 31)
Hero (BTN): 102.7 BB
SB: 265.8 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 50.00, Hands: 5)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 37.93, PFR: 31.03, 3Bet Preflop: 18.18, Hands: 29)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K Q

UTG calls 1 BB, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, SB calls 3.5 BB, BB calls 3 BB, UTG calls 3 BB

Flop: (16 BB, 4 players) 3 Q 9
SB bets 2 BB, BB calls 2 BB, fold, Hero raises to 16 BB, fold, BB raises to 48 BB, Hero raises to 98.7 BB and is all-in, BB calls 48 BB and is all-in

Last edited by philkill; 12-31-2014 at 08:52 AM.
nl10 TPGK gets 3-bettet after only calling a tiny donk Quote
12-31-2014 , 10:52 PM
It kinda looks like BB wants to get it in. Sets and combo draws are both heavy in his range. I'd prefer to take one of two lines. Fold now, or, call flop and gii on a non club turn.

Readless, I lean toward fold now since this wasn't a 3b pot and you haven't committed yourself yet.
nl10 TPGK gets 3-bettet after only calling a tiny donk Quote

      
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