I open with KQ and 3 people calls, SB donks only 2 bb and BB only calls, so i raise with TPGK, SB folds and think for a while, then he 3-bets, my thoughts were, he would raise most of time 2 pairs and also sets, so he has a draw, maybe a combodraw.
The question is, it is better to just call and hope for a non diamond or it is better to shove like i did.
If he has a combodraw ( i dint think this far, it should be JdTd or 9dxd) so every K or 8 and every diamond or 9 can be the hit, but if he play all hands like he would hit, it would be difficult to play against, on the other hand, i would save money, if a diamond falls on turn, so i can fold and if a card like 5non diamond or so falls, i could bet big or go allin then, what do you think.
And i could fold flop too, but like i said, he would rarely just call with 99 on this board, o.k. could be to induce or hope to get Flush over FH, i dont know exactly.
Not diamond, but cube.
I just run the scenario analyser, so any cube on turn would be a clear fold, every 9 too, with 8 i have 34.66% Equity and with all other cards i have more the 50% Equity on turn, so 13 cards i have to fold, 3 cards i have 35% Equity and the rest im far ahead thinking he has this range.
JcTc,Jc9c,Tc9c,9c8c
If i added sets of 3 (just to take 4 of the possible sets) i have awful Equity.
With all the deadmoney and my raise on flop i only need 36% Equity if he everytime calls (what should be the case), so all hang on the possible sets, with 4 possible sets i have only 25% Equity discounting the sets to 2 i have enouph.
PokerStars - €0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG: 43.7 BB (VPIP: 38.78, PFR: 16.33, 3Bet Preflop: 4.76, Hands: 52)
CO: 159.8 BB (VPIP: 30.00, PFR: 26.67, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 31)
Hero (BTN): 102.7 BB
SB: 265.8 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 50.00, Hands: 5)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 37.93, PFR: 31.03, 3Bet Preflop: 18.18, Hands: 29)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB,
BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K

Q
UTG calls 1 BB,
fold,
Hero raises to 4 BB, SB calls 3.5 BB,
BB calls 3 BB, UTG calls 3 BB
Flop: (16 BB, 4 players) 3

Q

9
SB bets 2 BB,
BB calls 2 BB,
fold,
Hero raises to 16 BB,
fold,
BB raises to 48 BB,
Hero raises to 98.7 BB and is all-in,
BB calls 48 BB and is all-in
Last edited by philkill; 12-31-2014 at 08:52 AM.