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NL10: Rate my bluff NL10: Rate my bluff

11-09-2011 , 05:50 PM
I'm just copying my thoughtprocess from my goal thread below


Villian is around 20/20 after 30 hands, he is playing 2 tables and seem to be semi-aggro and being a wise-ass 3bet stealer as well.
I call pre because I expect him to play face up in a multiway pot.
I expect him to cbet this board with all his made hands, maybe FD too since it's a pretty dry board. The two fishes who fold are 70vpip/fit or fold, so I think I'm gonna take this down quite often because they have so wide ranges, so I just take a 1/2PSB stab at the pot.

OR calls and I put him mainly on some bullcrap, I just don't give him credit for not c-betting flop, maybe he has some lower PP with a in it, but those will fold once I complete my 3 barrel plan. By now my plan is to keep betting any turn, now he raises, I don't give him credit here either, because he'd most likely call down with a flush and I can only see him doing this with a bluff, but if that's true I should shove turn so he can't bluff with a better hand on the river, I didn't think of this at the time playing but I was still putting him on a bluff/semibluff.

OTR when he checks I think he should shove any bluffs, so I just shove, I'm repping pretty strong here I think, fullhouse/flush so he can't really bluffcatch that mutch.

I'm posting results once I get enough feedback.

Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em $0.02 Ante - 5 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

Hero (CO): $12.44
BTN: $11.10
SB: $25.11
BB: $26.71
UTG: $25.00

Pre Flop: ($0.25) Hero is CO with A T
UTG raises to $0.40, Hero calls $0.40, BTN calls $0.40, 1 fold, BB calls $0.30

Flop: ($1.75) 3 3 8 (4 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $0.80, BTN folds, BB folds, UTG calls $0.80

Turn: ($3.35) 4 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $2, UTG raises to $5, Hero calls $3

River: ($13.35) 7 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $6.22 all in,

Last edited by Back off Kiddo; 11-09-2011 at 05:59 PM.
NL10: Rate my bluff Quote
11-09-2011 , 05:56 PM
i'd fold pre, bet more on the flop, fold to turn raise, and give up river.

when he c/c your small flop bet, i would guess that he usually has A high, but that goes out the window when he goes into fancy pants mode on the turn.
NL10: Rate my bluff Quote
11-09-2011 , 06:09 PM
^+1, esp. pre. It's a bit hard to 3bet here unless you have good reads. calling also sucks, so I'd just let it go. do you really want ATo to go multiway OOP?

also, I don't think I'm ever calling the turn raise.
NL10: Rate my bluff Quote
11-09-2011 , 06:18 PM
Maybe it is, I was mainly thinking of AT>fishes ranges. If i hit a A / T on the flop and UTG cbets I will re-evaluate.
NL10: Rate my bluff Quote
11-09-2011 , 06:31 PM
ATo is good HU against fish but plays like **** if it goes multiway and you're second to act. I think I'd rather 3b/iso before I call.
NL10: Rate my bluff Quote
11-09-2011 , 06:38 PM
i'd worry a lot more about calling off half your stack with nothing vs. a monster range.
NL10: Rate my bluff Quote
11-09-2011 , 06:42 PM
didn't realize you were CO, which makes the play better but I still don't like it.
NL10: Rate my bluff Quote
11-09-2011 , 06:49 PM
On the flop I put villian on 22-88, whiffed over cards.

On the turn villian is repping 44, 88, flushes.

On the river it really seems like his flush just got counterfeit and he's scared. So maybe he had something like JTcc or something. But it doesn't mean he's folding a flush at 10nl. So I don't like the bluff.

Also... fold pre, give up on turn, give up on river.
NL10: Rate my bluff Quote
11-09-2011 , 07:44 PM
the c/r on the turn is very suspicious and indicates a strong hand (88, 44). on the river your bluff is ineffective as with only 25% equity he needs he will snap you to look you up. i say bad river bluff.
NL10: Rate my bluff Quote
11-09-2011 , 09:12 PM
edit: nvm

would def fold turn, he's never bluffing there
NL10: Rate my bluff Quote
11-09-2011 , 09:20 PM
Spoiler:
River: ($13.35) 7 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $6.22 all in, UTG says "****ng house", UTG calls $6.22

Spoiler:
Final Pot: $25.79
Hero shows A T (a pair of Threes)
UTG shows A K (a flush, King high)
UTG wins $24.54
(Rake: $1.25)
NL10: Rate my bluff Quote
11-09-2011 , 11:16 PM
You are playing 10 NL, any bluff that has all of your money going in with A high after you are raised on the turn is probably not profitable.
NL10: Rate my bluff Quote

      
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