No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (5 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($8.07)
MP ($10)
Hero (Button) ($18.82)
SB ($9.60)
BB ($8.48)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 9, 9
2 folds, Hero bets $0.30, SB calls $0.25, BB calls $0.20

Flop: ($0.90) 5, 6, 8 (3 players)
SB bets $0.70, 1 fold, Hero raises $3, SB raises $8.60 (All-In), Hero calls $6.30


Hows this look? Is raising the flop spew against this villain?
Villain was 32/23/7.0 over 91 hands. I can't remember any reads on villain but he was rather spewy post flop and I didn't think he wasn't too competent. He turned up with this hand earlier:

No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($3.96)
SB ($10)
Hero (BB) ($17.48)
UTG ($13.41)
MP ($12.26)
CO ($7.82)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K, Q
UTG bets $0.35, 4 folds, Hero calls $0.25

Flop: ($0.75) 9, 10, K (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

Turn: ($1.75) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks

River: ($1.75) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.80, UTG calls $0.80

Total pot: $3.35

Villain shows Qd9d.
(My preflop call was because he was raising 56% in early position and I think KQ has more value in flatting than 3betting as his Fold to 3bet was 75%)

His donk/all in looks prety strong. like a set or 2pairs at least.
I would call the flop bet and see what he does on turn.

second hand is ok.!

The first hand:

I would not call the raise a spew, however, I think it is too large. If you make it $2ish, then I think its an obvious fold.

As played I think it is still a fold to the raise.

(+1)

Looks ok to me against this villain, although I sometimes just flat the flop

Raise/folding flop would be horrible imo, either raise and get it in or just flat

As played, facing a $6.30 raise on the flop in pot of $6.60.

Are we really better than 50% to win here?

Best case scenario: Villian is leading out, re-raising, with 1- Air, such as two broadway cards. Or 2- open ended/flush draw

Worst Case scenario: 88,66,55,86s,65s,97s all of which has the hero well below 50% equity

I agree, raise fold is terrible on such a wet board.
Against such a spewy villain, I was intending to raise/get it in vs him but wasn't sure if this line is correct.

Board: 5s 6c 8c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 50.422% 49.50% 00.92% 38222 714.00 { 9c9s }
Hand 1: 49.578% 48.65% 00.92% 37570 714.00 { 88, 66-55, AcJc, AcTc, KcJc, KcTc, QcJc, QcTc, JcTc, 97s, 86s+, 75s+, 65s, 97o, 86o+, 75o+, 65o }

Against a range of twopairs/sets/overs&flush/pair&straight draws, I've got a ton of equity, so raising is definitely to get it in.

I saw some value in flatting here as I've got blockers to the straight draws so I'm pretty sure both options are viable, was just wondering which of these do you think is more +ev?



By the way, Tomcat, we only need something like 33% equity. ($6.30 in a pot of $19.50 total once we call)

WP

bump. any other opinions on whether i should flat flop or raise-get it in?