NL 50 99 middle pair - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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NL 50 99 middle pair

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12-06-2008 , 11:44 AM

alex23

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 2,962

Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

SB: $32.40
BB: $12.90
UTG: $60.20
Hero (MP): $50.00
CO: $9.25
BTN: $40.40

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is MP with 9

1 fold, Hero raises to $1.75, 3 folds, BB calls $1.25

Flop: ($3.75) 7

(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.15, BB calls $2.15

Turn: ($8.05) 6

(2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($8.05) 6

(2 players)
BB bets $2, Hero folds

Villain is 38/0/1 over 13 hands. Do I call here? Should I have bet the turn when I picked up an open-ender?

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12-06-2008 , 12:15 PM

Eggpie

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 1,722

I call here. You need to win one time in 5 to break even, and he will do this with A8 or a missed flush draw ehough of the time.
It looks like either a weak value bet or a blocker bet anyway, and i can imagine you will be ahead more than the 20% of the time you need to be.
I wouldn't bet the turn, as you'd have to call if he shoved. Just take the free card and hope the river isn't a heart.

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