NL 400: River bluff - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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NL 400: River bluff

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03-18-2008 , 01:00 PM

RivFader

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 373

This is quite marginal bluff but I'd like to hear opinions. Villain is a 21/19 TAG, seems solid. Obviously any A is snapcalling but is it worth trying to fold out a J?

Party Poker $400 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

BTN: $1172.00
SB: $269.42
Hero (BB): $521.40
UTG: $253.40
MP: $394.00
CO: $496.00

Pre Flop: Hero is BB with K

2 folds, CO raises to $14, 2 folds, Hero raises to $50, CO calls $36

Flop: ($102.00) J

(2 players)
Hero bets $66, CO calls $66

Turn: ($234.00) 6

(2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

River: ($234.00) 8

(2 players)
Hero bets $166

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03-18-2008 , 02:02 PM

Pieter86

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 528

well, there aren't that many Js in his range i gues, I'd also think an Ace would bet the turn though but because of the fairly dry board he might check AQ again sind you won't really call a turnbet with worse.....

I don't think he is going to fold often enough to make this profitable

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03-18-2008 , 02:07 PM

callme

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 2,676

The fact that he doesnt try to buy the pot on the turn makes it more likely that he has some kind of showdown value hand Jx, QQ,KK.

After you checked the turn in this rr pot where you are probably just happy to get it in with an Ax i cant really see him folding made hands he called the flop with when you bet river.

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03-18-2008 , 02:17 PM

Darkfolder

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 1,355

I like it, he shouldnt expect you to be bluffing here.

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03-18-2008 , 02:25 PM

Suwalski

adept

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 1,141

i would rather bet the turn

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03-18-2008 , 02:33 PM

blankoblanco

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 8,395

after he calls dry flop and turn goes c/c, i don't think he's folding enough on the river. i think AQ shows up here a lot

as said, not many Js in his range to begin with. but if he's going to snapcall any A, he should probably call JT. there's not much difference between ATs and JTs here for villain. it's unlikely you're gonna turn KK/QQ/KJ into a bluff given the action

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03-18-2008 , 03:28 PM

PrettyOld

banned

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 6

Bet the turn. I think he is calling here alot. The check behind on turn is usually ffor pot control, and if it is, doubt hes folding.

Bet the turn instead.

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