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KINGS OTR ... let's go for value? KINGS OTR ... let's go for value?

04-17-2020 , 12:44 AM
Yatahay Network - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 120 BB
SB: 138.2 BB
BB: 151.1 BB 32/15/1.2/2[3B]99 H
UTG: 126.6 BB
MP: 125.8 BB
Hero (CO): 181.1 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K K

fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.8 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 1.8 BB

Flop: (6.1 BB, 2 players) T 3 5
BB bets 4.5 BB, Hero raises to 15.8 BB, BB calls 11.3 BB

Turn: (37.7 BB, 2 players) 2
BB bets 9.4 BB, Hero calls 9.4 BB

River: (56.5 BB, 2 players) 7
BB checks HERO?

What is the highest EV move? … and advice on all streets.... thanks
KINGS OTR ... let's go for value? Quote
04-17-2020 , 08:27 AM
Bet 1/3 and hope to get bluff raised by a missed draw or bluff caught by Ad after you let them have a cheap shot at the flush on the turn.
KINGS OTR ... let's go for value? Quote
04-17-2020 , 09:32 AM
Anybody open shoving?
KINGS OTR ... let's go for value? Quote
04-17-2020 , 09:33 AM
raise turn
KINGS OTR ... let's go for value? Quote
04-17-2020 , 09:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Captain Underpairs
Anybody open shoving?
No, because I don't think he puts you on a draw given his small turn bet, so I don't see him bluff catching often and certainly not confidently enough on a shove. Feels like burning money too when he does have a monster - know I said I'd bet small to induce a bluff raise, but those are probably rare at these states, so I don't call happily.

Assume you shoved and he folded?
KINGS OTR ... let's go for value? Quote
04-17-2020 , 10:34 AM
Bet like $20 and fold to a raise.

This hand and the texture don't totally justify a bomb.

I say "don't totally" because Villain could be playing bluffcatcher with an AT and willing to call $50, as there are bluffs in your range.
KINGS OTR ... let's go for value? Quote
04-17-2020 , 11:43 AM
think you need to be raising the turn here almost always. I actually would err towards calling in that spot too, I think people overvalue their overpairs here, but even I want to raise this turn. It so looks like a blocking bet. Raise turn and bet big on river IMO.

As played Id go for a healthy river bet, either like 1/4 pot to induce and calling any check raise, or 3/4 pot and maybe folding if he raises. Im leaning towards a big chunky river bet though. Maybe full pot or 1.5x pot to rep a missed flush draw trying to buy the pot
KINGS OTR ... let's go for value? Quote
04-17-2020 , 12:45 PM
Bet small otr, cry when he raises because noone c/r bluffs. Prob still call anything that's not huge.

Rest of the hand seems fine. Can raise flop. Don't have to.
As played turn seems like a clear call.

Jam river basically targets AT without the Ad specifically. Can't exclude sets A4, 64s T7s from villain's range either so I'd so I'd sooner check river behind than I'd jam
KINGS OTR ... let's go for value? Quote
04-17-2020 , 04:46 PM
I think the turn spot is interesting. Against a whale it's a raise, right? Against other player types is it more in the call territory?
KINGS OTR ... let's go for value? Quote
04-17-2020 , 05:12 PM
Bigger pre since everyone is deep

Raise turn

Bet/fold big on river

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KINGS OTR ... let's go for value? Quote

      
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