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** June 2014 LC Thread ** ** June 2014 LC Thread **

06-17-2014 , 09:42 AM
poker is my main income, im not going to lose one ****ing month playing 25nlz
what winrate SID?




running goot, im like this already, so give me a good prop

Last edited by MartimC; 06-17-2014 at 09:47 AM.
06-17-2014 , 10:58 AM
I'll have action on anything above 3bb for a decent sample.
06-17-2014 , 11:08 AM
3bb+ on 100khhs?
06-17-2014 , 11:10 AM
i'd snap take that if I could afford a sidebet
06-17-2014 , 11:12 AM
against me?
06-17-2014 , 11:15 AM
no, i'd bet in your favor if this ever happens. with reasonable odds ofcourse
06-17-2014 , 11:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Queen6Suited
I'll have action on anything above 3bb for a decent sample.
Could I take this bet?

I would also bet against martim of course
06-17-2014 , 11:18 AM
odds? how much $$?
06-17-2014 , 11:20 AM
you should propose $$
06-17-2014 , 11:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by (.)(.)(.)(.)(.)(.)
you should propose $$
This. Is there any precendence for this sort of bet so we can give fair odds?
06-17-2014 , 11:22 AM
seems like a pretty bad idea to bet against anyone's win rate over a non gigantic sample without a massive edge vs. their usual expected win rate.
06-17-2014 , 11:23 AM
I'll take some small action on Martim doing over 3bb+ as well.
06-17-2014 , 11:24 AM
yeah, 3PT?bb over 150k hands or w/e in x period of time
06-17-2014 , 11:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DaycareInferno
seems like a pretty bad idea to bet against anyone's win rate over a non gigantic sample without a massive edge vs. their usual expected win rate.
that's just variance
06-17-2014 , 11:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Don Melchor
yeah, 3PT?bb over 150k hands or w/e in x period of time
no, he said bb
06-17-2014 , 11:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Don Melchor
yeah, 3PT?bb over 150k hands or w/e in x period of time
I only want this to be a month long bet so it depends on how much volume martim thinks he can put in over that pwriod. I guess if he thinks he is a 3bb winner, he should want to play as many hands as possible to get his true winrate.
06-17-2014 , 11:27 AM
Would bet a small amount in Martim's favour at evens if it goes ahead at 3bb.
06-17-2014 , 11:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by (.)(.)(.)(.)(.)(.)
that's just variance
What I mean is that most players normal expected win rate is probably well below their best possible expected win rate because making more total money is better than having as high of a win rate as possible. That changes if someone has action on their own win rate though.
06-17-2014 , 11:29 AM
i really have no idea of what odds i should take , but i would like to know that before talking about $$

what is a normal winrate this days? @2014
06-17-2014 , 11:31 AM
i'd say 2:1 would be a reasonable offer from your side
06-17-2014 , 11:34 AM
so, im the favorite?
06-17-2014 , 11:35 AM
not according to people who are willing to bet against you ofcourse
06-17-2014 , 11:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MartimC
so, im the favorite?
how much are you willing to risk martim?
06-17-2014 , 11:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MartimC
what is a normal winrate this days? @2014
3.5bb/100 obv
06-17-2014 , 11:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SlowItDown
how much are you willing to risk martim?
dunno, how much are you?

      
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