[MICRO] JJ overpair in 3bet pot vs turn shove. call or fold? - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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[MICRO] JJ overpair in 3bet pot vs turn shove. call or fold?

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05-20-2022 , 08:32 AM

theicebergslim

adept

Join Date: Apr 2021 Posts: 846

PokerStars Zoom, Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 6 players
Replay this hand on CardsChat

UTG: $3.14 (157 bb)
MP (Hero): $2.13 (107 bb)
CO: $7.22 (361 bb)
BU: $2.00 (100 bb)
SB: $1.53 (77 bb)
BB: $5.47 (274 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is MP with J♥ J♦
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.05, CO 3-bets to $0.20, 2 players fold, BB calls $0.18, Hero calls $0.15

Flop: ($0.61) 2♠ 5♠ 8♦ (3 players)
BB checks, Hero checks, CO bets $0.59, BB folds, Hero calls $0.59

Turn: ($1.79) 8♣ (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $6.43 (all-in), MP (Hero) folds

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Villain stats:

the range I believe he have:

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05-20-2022 , 08:38 AM

Esa_Perse

banned

Join Date: Dec 2016 Posts: 1,850

Against a nit like that don't hate folding.

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05-20-2022 , 09:25 AM

MartL

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 10,637

Sucks but Im calling pre flop to set mine against this villain now the BB has come along. Villain with really low cbet stat then pots it in to 2 players, we could talk ourselves in to thinking that he does this with TT but then again theres a good chance TT was in his flatting range pre. Does he do it with AK/AQ? His stats suggest he is really only betting when he hits the flop so its possible with the flush draw he could do but I doubt he goes this large. His sizing just screams big over pair at least QQ+ not wanting to get sucked out on. I really don't hate folding to the flop bet.

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05-20-2022 , 11:26 AM

AceHigh

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,156

I would be tempted to call down. It's a weird way for Villain to play his hand when he can easily get you all in on the river by betting 1/2 pot on each street. You are near the top of you range, if you 4 bet KK+. You have 41% equity if you have ranged him correctly and he plays his whole range the same way.

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05-20-2022 , 12:18 PM

slyless

Hand Evaluation Expert

Join Date: Dec 2021 Posts: 2,795

I have 31% equity against this range and it's a close call.

Spoiler:

But, I don't think an opponent with a total 3bet of 4.5% will have TT in a range.
Plus I don't think a nit would shove all FD on the turn.
If we put in 50% TT preflop and 50% FD on the turn, we only get 21% equity.

Spoiler:

So, against an aggressive villain we can call in this spot, but against a nit, it's better to fold.

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Hand with stats - great!

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