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JJ nL 25 set on monochrome flop JJ nL 25 set on monochrome flop

01-12-2015 , 01:58 PM
Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players - View hand 2641039
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $26.11 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 4, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 24
SB: $25.10 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 9, 3B: 3, AF: 1.2, Hands: 511
BB: $25.00 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 11, 3B: 3, AF: 13.0, Hands: 176
UTG: $25.00 - VPIP: 12, PFR: 10, 3B: 3, AF: 2.7, Hands: 462
UTG+1: $20.11 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 4, 3B: 0, AF: 3.0, Hands: 113
MP1: $26.03 - VPIP: 11, PFR: 9, 3B: 5, AF: 1.8, Hands: 483
MP2: $56.89 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 16, 3B: 2, AF: 2.0, Hands: 339
[b]Hero (CO): $26.00

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is CO with J J
3 folds, MP2 raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.75, 3 folds

Flop: ($1.85) 6 3 J (2 players)
MP2 bets $0.88, Hero raises to $3.23, MP2 calls $2.35

Turn: ($8.31) 8 (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $5.50, MP2 calls $5.50

River: ($19.31) 5 (2 players)
MP2 bets $16.50, Hero?

Can I hope for a smaller set, or is certain that he has flush?
JJ nL 25 set on monochrome flop Quote
01-12-2015 , 02:50 PM
Villain is the 28/16 MP2 and not the bolded 12/10 UTG at the beginning of the HH, right?

I think, for hands we beat, we're more likely to see Ax that smaller sets here but I do think his range is likely weighted towards made flushes, I'd definitely consider a fold.

Flipping it around, if we were villain, would anyone consider turning AAx into a bluff and playing it like this?
JJ nL 25 set on monochrome flop Quote
01-12-2015 , 03:12 PM
3! Pre fold riv
JJ nL 25 set on monochrome flop Quote
01-15-2015 , 10:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by universalpeace
3! Pre fold riv
why 3 bet pre ? first we make sure if the 3 bet acomplish something . if he have a low fold to 3 bet is ok to 3 bet but if he folds alot to 3 bets why to do that , make no sense . this thing with 3 bet is allways villian dependent
JJ nL 25 set on monochrome flop Quote
01-15-2015 , 12:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by utgboy
why 3 bet pre ? first we make sure if the 3 bet acomplish something . if he have a low fold to 3 bet is ok to 3 bet but if he folds alot to 3 bets why to do that , make no sense . this thing with 3 bet is allways villian dependent
Vs 28/16 in mp Id like to think a 3! Is good here
4 initiation aggression and lead otf
JJ nL 25 set on monochrome flop Quote
01-15-2015 , 01:03 PM
I think river is a fold given how strong we look, otoh if we have shown some bluffs before it might be closer to a call, but given how we played villain can not expect a fold too often here?
If I were to bluff the Ac I would probably do it otf or ott, given fold equity together with pot equity, turning it to a bluff otr seems like pew imo..

as interesting is probably how much do you bet if checked to otr?
JJ nL 25 set on monochrome flop Quote
01-15-2015 , 02:11 PM
Prefer flatting pre.

I like calling down.

As played, fold river.
JJ nL 25 set on monochrome flop Quote

      
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