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JJ with a ace who falls on the river versus a LAG JJ with a ace who falls on the river versus a LAG

02-07-2015 , 12:34 AM
Hand versus a LAG. Tough fold on the river. Villain open 42 % from CO.

From my Flopzilla analysis, villain has 32% of air on the river. (and Top pair or better 68% of the time)

Is this a call?

    Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #34702371

    MP: $2 (40 bb)
    CO: $4.07 (81.4 bb)
    BTN: $7.82 (156.4 bb)
    SB: $5.87 (117.4 bb)
    Hero (BB): $5.18 (103.6 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with J J
    MP folds, CO raises to $0.15, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.10

    Flop: ($0.32) 9 8 4 (2 players)
    Hero checks, CO bets $0.20, Hero raises to $0.55, CO calls $0.35

    Turn: ($1.42) 8 (2 players)
    Hero bets $0.85, CO calls $0.85

    River: ($3.12) A (2 players)
    Hero checks, CO bets $2.52 and is all-in, Hero folds

    Spoiler:
    Results: $3.12 pot ($0.13 rake)
    Final Board: 9 8 4 8 A
    CO mucked and won $2.99 ($1.44 net)
    Hero mucked J J and lost (-$1.55 net)



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    JJ with a ace who falls on the river versus a LAG Quote
    02-07-2015 , 02:27 AM
    Most players will check back 9T-9K but he could possibly turn them into bluffs. I find it unlikely he has an 8 here. Does he have enough bluffs in his range? He could do this with 7T, 67, TJ, in his bluff range and A9, 99, 44 in his value range...not to mention maybe a few oddball hands I think most players will bet small for not just thin value but with nuts as well here because they know the A is a scare card. I think I call.
    JJ with a ace who falls on the river versus a LAG Quote

          
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