Villain's stats are 10/7 over 82 hands


Poker Stars $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

SB: $0.84
BB: $0.74
UTG: $2.00
UTG+1: $1.58
MP1: $0.83
Hero (MP2): $3.91
CO: $2.04
BTN: $2.24

Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is MP2 with A K
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.10, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.10, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.23) K 9 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.18, BTN calls $0.18

Turn: ($0.59) 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.30, BTN calls $0.30

River: ($1.19) 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.60, BTN raises to $1.66 all in, Hero ???




I felt good in the beginning, probably didn't check villains stats...

I feel that I should have checked the river and re-evaluated... looking at his stats he has a pretty narrow range, I think my HUD at the time showed something like 6/5 or some nitty thing like that.

All I thought was, damnit, this nit really has something...

Hands I put him on would be AA, AK, KK, but couldn't get out of my mind that he could have a set as well.

Thoughts? Go easy on me this is my first hand review in *years*

Bet more on turn. x/c river
ap, fold.

AA/KK he would likely 3-bet, and you have blockers for those hands has well, so bit less likely.

That said, he can have plenty of hands here that beat you, even as a seemingly tight player. 99/77, maybe 88. He might play JTs/QJs. He certainly isn't valueraising worse or the same hand and bluffing seems unlikely for this guy.

I'm betting a bit bigger on the turn. River is fine as a halfpot/fold imo.

Yeah, I don't think he has AA or KK as you would expect a 3-Bet from these hands, from this player. AK is a possible holding as well. He is a tight player but he could call with 99 or 77 going for some implied odds against your monsters. But, no matter what he had, I think it's a nice fold. You lose against all of these holdings and you only split against AK. I think you could have checked-folded the river as well.

By the way, what is your reason for the 5bb opening?

OK thanks guys, guess I didn't fubar it up too badly.

My thoughts for folding definitely were that we were likely splitting at best, and there are more hands that beat me than I beat looking at his line.

5bb opening is because it's 2nl, fish will call 10c as easily as 6c or 8c with much worse hands than AK...

^
Interesting - I vary my opening sizes often depending on my position, number of limpers, hand strength and my mood, generally between 2.5x and 6x if I'm feeling heavy.

Is this weak play? Should I just be 3x-ing it no matter what?

Oh I do that of course, as a general rule which I vary from time to time, is EP I raise 4-5x, MP 4x, LP 3-4x, depending on hand strength.. another 1x per limper as well.

I honestly don't change my opening by position, certainly not on hand strength, but do when there's limpers.

At 2NL you can kinda do whatever cause most opponents won't be observant enough to realise differences in your betting patterns, but on higher limitis this might become a problem. If you raise any AA/KK 4 bb instead of your usual 3 bb, that's an obvious bet size tell.

I'm no authority on this or whatever, but I always feel that little variation in bet sizing based on hand strength at least would better help disguise your hand.

This is definitely true, but you're right that almost nobody pays attention at 2nl... especially the fish. To fish, bigger bet = bluff usually.

Even at higher stakes where people pay attention, if you vary but also balance occasionally (maybe 20% of the time do the opposite i.e once in a while steal with a 4x or make it 3x with your AA with 1 limper) then I think its still decent play since you get the benefit of already setting yourself up for the pot size you want to play most of the time whilst also throwing a little spanner in the works.

Yea x/c river depending on sizing. You're not likely to get 3 streets of value unless vs a fish.

x/f river. I can't see villain betting QQ/JJ otr and there's not much else you beat that tight villain realistically holds.

Do you guys really think a nit is going to bet this river with less then TPTK? He's going to happily check back any hands we beat, and unlikely to throw us a bluff. x/c just lets him put $ in while ahead and not when behind.

I think it's close between either b/f (to get value from hands like KQ) or x/f.

Flop good.

Bet/fold turn to .45 - There's some value from weaker kings, 9Ts, JJ-QQ etc.

I'd check/fold river vs this player. I dunno if he'd even call with worse and sure isn't betting himself with a hand we beat.