good spot to 4-bet shove?(Nl10)
02-19-2012
, 03:46 AM
I had 73 hands on villain.. 17/8/5 player with 33% sqeeze
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
SB ($19.57)
BB ($8.95)
UTG ($13.54)
UTG+1 ($10.79)
UTG+2 ($10)
MP1 ($10)
Hero ($14.64)
BTN ($19.04)
Dealt to Hero J
J
fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $0.40, MP1 calls $0.40, Hero calls $0.40, BTN calls $0.40, SB raises to $2.50, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $14.64 (AI), fold, SB calls $12.14
FLOP ($30.58) 5 T J
TURN ($30.58) 5 T J 3
RIVER ($30.58) 5 T J 3 Q
Hero shows J J
(Pre 53%, Flop 86.3%, Turn 90.9%)
regardless of what he had I think JJ is ahead of his range here... any thoughts?
Ty
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
SB ($19.57)
BB ($8.95)
UTG ($13.54)
UTG+1 ($10.79)
UTG+2 ($10)
MP1 ($10)
Hero ($14.64)
BTN ($19.04)
Dealt to Hero J
J fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $0.40, MP1 calls $0.40, Hero calls $0.40, BTN calls $0.40, SB raises to $2.50, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $14.64 (AI), fold, SB calls $12.14
FLOP ($30.58) 5
T J TURN ($30.58) 5
T J 3 RIVER ($30.58) 5
T J 3 Q Hero shows J
J (Pre 53%, Flop 86.3%, Turn 90.9%)
Spoiler:
regardless of what he had I think JJ is ahead of his range here... any thoughts?
Ty
02-19-2012
, 03:49 AM
02-19-2012
, 01:37 PM
02-19-2012
, 04:00 PM
Quote:
I'm assuming you flatted UTG+2 because you knew/assumed he was positionally aware and didn't think you could raise JJ for value, and folding is too weak, so a call was the best choice.
Without more information, I personally would assume that SB is also looking at UTG+2's range in the same way, and is therefore less likely to squeeze. (it's possible he has more stats on UTG+2 than we do, but we don't know that).
Without more information, I personally would assume that SB is also looking at UTG+2's range in the same way, and is therefore less likely to squeeze. (it's possible he has more stats on UTG+2 than we do, but we don't know that).
)
02-19-2012
, 04:42 PM
To ilustrate weird plays at nl10:
The QJ guy is a reg playing 18/14/4.5(steals 46 and folds to 3-bet 65) over 4.6k hands.. see anything weird with his play?)
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
SB ($24.48)
BB ($24.25)
UTG ($8.26)
Hero ($10)
UTG+2 ($18.55)
MP1 ($5)
MP2 ($9.63)
MP3 ($5)
CO ($18.40)
BTN ($16.23)
Dealt to Hero A A
fold, Hero raises to $0.40, fold, MP1 calls $0.30, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $0.30
FLOP ($1.25) K J 9
BB checks, Hero bets $0.80, MP1 raises to $1.60, BB raises to $4.50, Hero raises to $9.60 (AI), MP1 calls $3 (AI), BB calls $5.10
TURN ($25.05) K J 9 J
RIVER ($25.05) K J 9 J 3
Hero shows A A
(Pre 73%, Flop 3.2%, Turn 4.8%)
MP1 shows T Q
(Pre 11%, Flop 84.8%, Turn 70.2%)
BB shows Q J
(Pre 15%, Flop 12.0%, Turn 25.0%)
MP1 wins $14.05
BB wins $9.33
The QJ guy is a reg playing 18/14/4.5(steals 46 and folds to 3-bet 65) over 4.6k hands.. see anything weird with his play?
)Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
SB ($24.48)
BB ($24.25)
UTG ($8.26)
Hero ($10)
UTG+2 ($18.55)
MP1 ($5)
MP2 ($9.63)
MP3 ($5)
CO ($18.40)
BTN ($16.23)
Dealt to Hero A
A fold, Hero raises to $0.40, fold, MP1 calls $0.30, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $0.30
FLOP ($1.25) K
J 9 BB checks, Hero bets $0.80, MP1 raises to $1.60, BB raises to $4.50, Hero raises to $9.60 (AI), MP1 calls $3 (AI), BB calls $5.10
TURN ($25.05) K
J 9 J RIVER ($25.05) K
J 9 J 3 Hero shows A
A (Pre 73%, Flop 3.2%, Turn 4.8%)
MP1 shows T
Q (Pre 11%, Flop 84.8%, Turn 70.2%)
BB shows Q
J (Pre 15%, Flop 12.0%, Turn 25.0%)
MP1 wins $14.05
BB wins $9.33