flopping weak top pair on monotone board vs fish - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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flopping weak top pair on monotone board vs fish

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09-11-2011 , 10:18 PM

Connisseur

enthusiast

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 92

No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Hand Converter from HandHistoryConverter.com

UTG ($36.30)
Hero (MP) ($73.05)
CO ($52.20)
Button ($52.10)
SB ($38)
BB ($50.75)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 8

, 7

1 fold, Hero bets $1.50, 2 folds, SB raises to $3, 1 fold, Hero calls $1.50

Flop: ($6.50) 3

, 6

, 7

(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $3, SB calls $3

Turn: ($12.50) 6

(2 players)
SB bets $10.70,Hero ???

Villain is fishy with the following stats over 273 hands he is:
28/11
2.9%3bet
cbet:75%(33% when oop)
AF:1.6 (flop AF:1.6)

Hero should fold? call? or raise? and if call at what rivers do we call his ship?

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09-12-2011 , 01:06 AM

GameofPricks

enthusiast

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 57

I feel like the villains range here is heavily weighted towards a flush here. A 2nd 6 may scare villain here into betting now to protect his flush against someone drawing to a full house. This leaves you with only 2 plays I believe: fold or shove. The great thing about the board is that you could already have a boat with 76 playing suited connectors. What I think this comes down to is whether you think that villain will fold a flush to a raise. If villain is the type to never fold to flop/turn 3bets, just lay it down

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09-12-2011 , 01:27 AM

z0mgtiltz

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 10,948

Bet flop slightly bigger so you don't induce.

Fold turn, villain rarely takes this line as a bluff, you beat nothing from his value range and are drawing thin.
Even if he's semibluffing, he usually has two overs and the flushdraw to go with it so you might make mistakes on rivers.

You can call turn if he's just a ****** and will definitely give up with his bluffs on rivers.

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09-12-2011 , 07:52 AM

Connisseur

enthusiast

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 92

Quote:

Originally Posted by z0mgtiltz

What do you believe his range to be in specific? Dont you think that if he had an overpair he would bet flop or c/r flop or c/c flop c/c turn (most likely with a club)? If he has a set doesnt he bet flop or c/r flop? Plus hero's inducy line makes slightly more of an argument about continuing?

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09-12-2011 , 08:48 AM

z0mgtiltz

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 10,948

No idea, he looks like a ******.

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09-12-2011 , 09:46 AM

nickjehz

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 2,112

I would look for less variance spots as this is a big fish and it won't take long before you have his money anyways.

there for im folding

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09-12-2011 , 09:58 AM

nobrainier

enthusiast

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 86

Fold. You're going to play a guessing game on the river if you call. I don't like shoving either. He's passive, he could've easily gone for a flop check-raise with an overpair and since he has missed his opportunity he bombs the turn. As previous poster said, look for a less variance spots, there will be plenty, especially if you are likely to steam when he shows you a better hand.

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