Really tricky spot on the river, though I also think I misplaced the turn which lead to a tougher river decision. My thoughts after each street.

CO is 24/19/8 with a 67 hand sample.

Yatahay Network - $2 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 47.34 BB
BB: 158.6 BB
UTG: 135.37 BB
MP: 255.92 BB
CO: 151.44 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Ah Kh
fold, MP raises to 2.25 BB, CO calls 2.25 BB, Hero raises to 10.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, CO calls 8.25 BB

Flop : (24.75 BB, 2 players) 7c Td 8h
CO checks, Hero bets 11 BB, CO calls 11 BB

I feel like this is pretty standard up to this point. When villain calls I'm thinking his range consists of 55 - JJ, J9s and some combos of TXs and some combos of suited face cards.

Turn : (46.75 BB, 2 players) Ts
CO checks, Hero bets 23 BB, CO calls 23 BB

At this point I'm discounting the TX combos from villains range and am thinking it's either nuts or nothing and Im representing strength and have a strong range so a half pot pet should tell me where I'm at. The only hands villa would continue with that I beat are 99 and JJ.

River : (92.75 BB, 2 players) Th
CO checks, Hero ???

This river really through me off. With the 3rd T falling I think it's nearly impossible he has the case T. Any 77 and 88 combos are now counterfeit and because I've raised and bet the past two streets I am representing QQ-AA credibly. But at the same time I can only fire ~50% pot if I shove here. I'm not sure if that's enough to move villain off any of the full house combos here. Who would fire and who would check behind?

You’re spewing incredibly hard in this hand. Any semi-competent opponent that call-calls preflop is going to smash this texture (and a 24/19 is probably at least semi-competent), so we’re just firing away with little equity hand v range and little fold equity.

What are you even repping on river? Overpairs get spooked and check back turn frequently, and you aren’t betting 88/77 on the river even if they’re in your range. So you have one of like 4 Tx combos in your range if we want to be incredibly generous to your value bets here, 99 that was merge betting turn and now has improved to beat 88/77, and total air? And if you have all 4 combos of AKs, you probably have way too much air in your range and are going to get called a lot.

If you must bet, the only sizing that makes sense is all in. But you should probably give up because this runout is conducive to getting hero’d


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x flop