PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 100 BB
SB: 195.7 BB
Hero (BB): 117.4 BB
UTG: 111.4 BB
MP: 324.1 BB
CO: 122.7 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A K

fold, MP raises to 3.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 13 BB, MP calls 9.5 BB

Flop: (26.5 BB, 2 players) A 7 6
Hero bets 8.3 BB, MP calls 8.3 BB

Turn: (43.1 BB, 2 players) 7
Hero checks, MP checks

River: (43.1 BB, 2 players) 6
Hero bets 25 BB,


Hero checking turn to XR because I want him to over value Ax and worse.

Medium river sizing targeting lower PPs

Is that right though? Ordinary hand but I don't want to **** bread n butter up

Would check river vs likely fish

I'd continue turn personally, but as played x river seems fine and villain will bluff all floats.

You can also play 2street with this hand on this kind of a board. We want to stack off AQ AJ AT and those hands will call big flop and turn bet. If you go for 3 streets more often than not bord will runout in such a way that you can comfortably jam river.

Yeah they're better lines. My XR turn wants IP to stab all worse Ax and not sure that's often enough on a locked down AMM board

AP are we XR jamming river? Leaning towards yes vs most and more 2.5x vs reg (pretending 100bb stacks)

I just keep it simple with 1/3, geometric, jam. This guy is unlikely to hero fold Ax on the river. We can screw around with QQ-AA or AJs or whatever.

On the river, I still think he has Ax a lot. And I think he will be pretty inelastic with it. I just jam. Villain will be like "lulz he dudnt haz a boat i callz". Easy game.

Betting turn. I never assume people will bluff river on busted draws, and I want value for sure on the turn from all draws and Ax. Then I can decide if I want to bet or X river.

The pot is quite big already, I would say you don't need XR to stack an A, you can just bet 30bb. Which also prevents villain to take a free card with whatever draw they can have.

I would check only vs specific opponents who are very aggressive.

You want them to be in a tough spot. If you are MP holding an A here you are not so happy when BB bets 30BB. At microstakes too many players will happily check ATs behind and wait for the river. And if river is a J or a Q and they bet 1/3 pot you will hesitate to raise and you'll lose money.

On the river given your turn line don't you think you should just open shove? Villain is super capped, if they have a 6 or a 7 (never) or a slowplayed AA (almost never) you will get stacked anyway and you beat everything else. Plus it's a spot where people might play incorrectly and call *more* with worse hands if you bet bigger because they think you try to bully them, or something like that.

They will check back weak Ax and FDs. Always betting turn, even more so vs 3.5x pre. Jam brick rivers

As played think betting river and size is fine

I think this is a leak OP

I would also bet turn 50% to 75% (prob 32bb) and jam on this river, my guess is he called with ATo. Also IMO fish will have way to many Ax pre(ATo+ A2s+), because he doesn't care that you 3B from BB.

bet - bet - jam

Bigger otf; this isn't a range bet spot

Betting turn; villain doesn't have much 7x here but has to call down with AQ-AJs

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Bet bet x or bet bet shove are ur options depending on the opponent.Bet x bet is probably the worst line we can take we're not making any money of flush draws if he has 6 he got there and we let him ge there if he has weaker ace hes more likely to call turn barrel than river one.
As played we're losing lots of value vs AQ or fd

Interesting spot -
Questions first;

• What do you think his PF range is for calling?
• What's your 3B range against his 3.5 bb open? We might say that makes us think he's recreational, which is fine generally about them, but what hands are getting te 3.5 open - all hands, or juts strong one, maybe just ones he wants to protect/will have a hard time folding?
• Also, what are your assumptions about his flop line with sets/2p?

Re turn check -
In this formation, pool stabs 46% - with 32% of the bet range being 'weak'
On A High flops in this formation. the stab drops slightly to 42% with 'weak' part of that bet range dropping off a cliff to 18%

Looking deeper into SD hands from differnt lines on AHigh flops - it looks like c60% of TP hands are betting and about 40% of MP/SP.
Two pretty STRONG indicators we donlt want to induce here in real life - whatever a GTO reponse might tell us.
Given we can expect near 100% calls from TP when we bet, and the texture is one pool is disinclined to bluff, bet turn seems the line.

Further question then, if we assume;

1. at least some portion of sets/2p get flop raised
2. villain will bet most (say 75% of) 2p+ value on turn

What's your river jam range?