PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 245.6 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 50.00, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 5)
SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 40.00, PFR: 40.00, 3Bet Preflop: 100.00, Hands: 5)
BB: 122 BB (VPIP: 18.13, PFR: 12.58, 3Bet Preflop: 3.28, Hands: 163)
UTG: 47 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 22.00, PFR: 18.00, 3Bet Preflop: 5.00, Hands: 50)
Hero (CO): 111.2 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has J Q

fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.4 BB, BTN calls 2.4 BB, SB calls 2 BB, fold

Flop: (8.2 BB, 3 players) Q J 3
SB checks, Hero bets 5 BB, BTN calls 5 BB, fold

Turn: (18.2 BB, 2 players) T
Hero bets 14 BB, BTN calls 14 BB

River: (46.2 BB, 2 players) 7
Hero checks, BTN bets 29.2 BB, Hero calls 29.2 BB


What do you guys think about the betsizings ? Should I bet smaller on turn to keep more of his draws in or do you think he would call anyway?

I dont think its a value bet, he has very few holdings that can call 3 streets. QJ,QT,JT mostly, rest of his range is pretty much nuts/ beats me or bricked draws.
I think i get much more value by checking back and possibly let them take a stab.

* I think he can easily have 89,T9,TT, here, random suited Ax, other diamond suited connectors

Nh IMO

River is def a x for me because you block all of V's calling range. Much better to let V bluff whiffed draws.

A lot of stuff that beats you raises before river. 5nl players are much better at hero calling Q9 than they are betting diamonds when everybody check/calls the river anyway.

Well played.

I agree with betting the river V dosnt have that many missed draws that dont have SDV

I personally like this x/c, there are plenty of hands we beat that he will bet with (made hands and missed draws).

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"Should I bet smaller on turn to keep more of his draws in or do you think he would call anyway?"

For simplicity, I'll assume you have the best hand and he is either calling or folding the turn.

Any OESD, FD, or better is calling 14 BB.

He probably doesn't have a bare A or 8 on the turn, but let's take a look at the math:

Assuming he improves to the best hand 4/46 times and you bet 14 BB into 18.2 BB, he needs ~150 BB implied odds to call and is obviously folding naked gutters here. With 18.2 + 29.2 BB implied odds, he only calls ~4.5 BB or lower. He would have to assume you never have the flush or straight and you bet and 3 bet the river, this is too optimistic.

By pricing in gutters, you are losing value vs. stronger draws and weaker made hands which are a much higher % of his range.


"What do you guys think about the betsizings ?"

The sizes are fine.


"Checking brick river against draw heavy range ?"

Depends on his river strategy. Assuming you are either check/calling or bet/calling this is relatively simple calculation if you have his ranges.

I would probably bet the river and call if he shoves.

V doesn't have that many bluffs by the river and he will xb most of the hands that will call a bet. River is an ez bet.

So people are saying bet/fold river?

+1 for bet fold river

It's kinda gross though since V is unknown.

I think it's optimal line though where we miss value, and I'm probably more worried about missing value than getting bluff shoved on on the river at 5nl

I doubt you get bluff shoved on much with this line.

agreed

Could be a bet-call on the river, hard for villain to have us beat and he can shove worse 2pair and bluff a bit.