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Bottom set fold Bottom set fold

11-05-2013 , 06:09 PM
Villain - 13/3, raise flop 8% (1/13) before the hand.

Knowing how nitty he is I was really confused. The board's dry, (I missed that he limped/call), so I didn't know what to do OTF. Which lead to the worst decision - calling.


Do I fold here?



    IPoker, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players

    UTG+2: $12.84 (128.4 bb)
    MP1: $10.02 (100.2 bb)
    MP2: $6.14 (61.4 bb)
    MP3: $18.28 (182.8 bb)
    CO: $11.38 (113.8 bb)
    BTN: $3.20 (32 bb)
    SB: $14.70 (147 bb)
    Hero (BB): $15.85 (158.5 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with 3 3
    UTG+2 calls $0.10, MP1 raises to $0.40, MP2 folds, MP3 calls $0.40, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.30, UTG+2 calls $0.30

    Flop: ($1.65) J 7 3 (4 players)
    Hero bets $1.20, UTG+2 raises to $2.40, 2 folds, Hero calls $1.20

    Turn: ($6.45) 5 (2 players)
    Hero bets $4.51, UTG+2 raises to $9.02, Hero raises to $13.05, UTG+2 calls $1.02 and is all-in

    River: ($26.53) 7 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

    Bottom set fold Quote
    11-05-2013 , 07:19 PM
    Reads are too few,. How many hands you be on him??

    Without more info I am not folding as he might have played Aa like that too..

    If you thought he had a bigger set why bet flop?

    Etienne
    Bottom set fold Quote
    11-06-2013 , 06:04 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by etipac
    Reads are too few,. How many hands you be on him??

    Without more info I am not folding as he might have played Aa like that too..

    If you thought he had a bigger set why bet flop?

    Etienne
    Sorry, 880 hands on the villain.

    You mean turn?
    I can't really x/f on turn after a min raise on flop and x/c seemed even a worse option because I would still have to call off my whole stack.

    Well, I don't think he can play AA or KK like that..not a 13/3 fit-fold nit.
    Bottom set fold Quote
    11-06-2013 , 06:16 AM
    I would probably check the flop and see what the original raiser does in this spot. Im probably going to check/raise and hope he has an overpair. Hindsight is a wonderful thing but if we were to do that and this guy came along we probably have an easy fold.

    Anyway as played his raise on the flop ****s the life out of me. I also hate the turn lead(props on it been the most tilt inducing line ever though by the way:-) ) but nitty as it sounds I want to get to SD as cheap as possible vs this villain.
    Bottom set fold Quote
    11-06-2013 , 10:38 AM
    Board s v dry so betting is v strong, though when he raises you it makes for some alarms, turn why bet? Or at least check but if you bet and he raises you need to say set and fold...

    So options are ..

    1 do not bet flop as it is super dry, if he bets turn you raise him, if he reraises he must be nutted.
    2 bet flop since it is not headsup, he raises you but you need to check turn if you put him on a set... if you think he has less you go with it.

    Etienne
    Bottom set fold Quote
    11-06-2013 , 03:27 PM
    I like the flop lead here actually, but I'm fine with a check as well.

    After that, we're against the most passive player ever (over a decent enough sample size), we're multiway, there are zero draws, and he limp-called pre. I kinda think flop is actually a puke fold. His range is so heavily weighted to 77 that we can't really call down profitably. The only exception to that would be if you have a stat that says he never raises pre in EP, in which case this could be an overpair, so calling down would be fine. But if he does, we can eliminate QQ+, and it's a fold otf.
    Bottom set fold Quote
    11-07-2013 , 11:24 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by donkey_bonker
    I like the flop lead here actually, but I'm fine with a check as well.

    After that, we're against the most passive player ever (over a decent enough sample size), we're multiway, there are zero draws, and he limp-called pre. I kinda think flop is actually a puke fold. His range is so heavily weighted to 77 that we can't really call down profitably. The only exception to that would be if you have a stat that says he never raises pre in EP, in which case this could be an overpair, so calling down would be fine. But if he does, we can eliminate QQ+, and it's a fold otf.
    I obviously thank anyone who wrote but for me your answer probably tops everything. I absolutely agree with everything you said and, as you put it, puke fold OTF should have been my action. It's my problem though, due to inexperience i tend to through my plan out of the window (OTF I decided to call and re-evaluate and OTT I though, well, maybe he doesn't have a set, I can't fold). Which I know is stupid but I'm working on it .
    Bottom set fold Quote
    11-07-2013 , 12:28 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by LTU Westham
    I obviously thank anyone who wrote but for me your answer probably tops everything. I absolutely agree with everything you said and, as you put it, puke fold OTF should have been my action. It's my problem though, due to inexperience i tend to through my plan out of the window (OTF I decided to call and re-evaluate and OTT I though, well, maybe he doesn't have a set, I can't fold). Which I know is stupid but I'm working on it .
    I should make it clear though that most villains you should at least be calling down, and a lot of the time you should be stacking off. It's just this particular villain has too many things that are screaming set.

    In short, you'd be better off just trying to stack off every set ever as a general rule than trying to find spots to hero fold them. Basically, don't let experiences like this one cause you to nit up and lose value against most other player types.
    Bottom set fold Quote
    11-07-2013 , 01:20 PM
    We're over 80% equity vs his range on the flop, so without any specific reads on his postflop play, I'm always trying to get all the chips in the middle on the flop here. With solid reads postflop, we could maybe find a fold. Since you don't have reads though, we don't know if he makes this play with AJ type hands, or only with sets, etc, so considering our massive equity vs his range, we gotta get the chips in fast. edit: also we're not pot committed here on the turn, so you don't have to lead unless you think he's calling with worse hands, we're obviously not getting him to fold top or middle sets.
    Bottom set fold Quote

          
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