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Barrel this river to fold out Ax? Barrel this river to fold out Ax?

11-06-2021 , 11:19 PM
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker Tracking Software

NL Holdem 0.50(BB)
BTN (277.3) [VPIP: 0% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 1]
SB (28.6) [VPIP: 0% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 1]
BB (102.2) [VPIP: 100% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 1]
UTG (118.7) [VPIP: 0% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 1]
HJ (93.7) [VPIP: 0% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 1]
HERO (124.4)

Dealt to Hero: 8 8

UTG Folds, HJ Folds, HERO Raises To 3 BBs, BTN Folds, SB Folds, BB Calls 2

Hero SPR on Flop: [15.26 effective]
Flop (6.5): A 7 5
BB Checks, HERO Bets 2 (Rem. Stack: 119.4), BB Calls 2 (Rem. Stack: 97.2)

Turn (10.5): A 7 5 9
BB Checks, HERO Bets 7 (Rem. Stack: 112.4), BB Calls 7 (Rem. Stack: 90.2)

River (24.5): A 7 5 9 9
BB Checks, Hero?
Barrel this river to fold out Ax? Quote
11-07-2021 , 05:51 AM
GTO Wizard doesn't use 88 as a bluff on the turn, but I feel like we are supposed to follow through on the river if we do use it as a bluff. Something like 3/4 is probably fine.

Fwiw, GTO Wizard uses AsTx, As9x, and As7x as bluffs on the river for 2/3 sizing so turning pairs into bluffs is obv okay.

In practice, I am not sure how much I like bluffing this river. In my experience, the board pairing usually mean that we get stationed like crazy by every made hand that called the turn. When we bluff this river, GTO Wizard folds a ton of Ax as the BB. Do humans really do this? I tend to think that a lot of humans just call every Ax on the river now that A7 and A5 are counterfeited.
Barrel this river to fold out Ax? Quote
11-07-2021 , 05:57 AM
Not sure about turn guess it's okish.
Ap-Check the river. Hand has plenty of SDV vs BB.
Barrel this river to fold out Ax? Quote
11-07-2021 , 09:38 AM
Turn almost 100% check but EV of betting si similar to check

Otr EV of check is higher then EV of bet so you should check

photo sharing
Barrel this river to fold out Ax? Quote
11-07-2021 , 10:35 AM
Don't like the turnbet. 88 is most likely still ahead against a BB range here and he will never fold Ax. I would rather bluff sth like Ks8x.
Barrel this river to fold out Ax? Quote
11-07-2021 , 01:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Anjunbeats
Don't like the turnbet. 88 is most likely still ahead against a BB range here and he will never fold Ax. I would rather bluff sth like Ks8x.
Don’t think CO will ever have K8o in his range to bluff here…
Barrel this river to fold out Ax? Quote
11-07-2021 , 01:48 PM
River bet is pure torch
Barrel this river to fold out Ax? Quote
11-07-2021 , 03:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Haizemberg93
Turn almost 100% check but EV of betting si similar to check

Otr EV of check is higher then EV of bet so you should check

photo sharing
Thanks for the solve! Did I hear we can get 1 free/day somehow?

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
Barrel this river to fold out Ax? Quote
11-07-2021 , 03:25 PM
I appreciate everyone's responses.

FWIW I did xb otr but having the 8s was tempting...probably why DDP made his post about blockers the other day lol

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Barrel this river to fold out Ax? Quote
11-08-2021 , 07:43 PM
If the As were on board and the 7 or 5 were a heart, I think the turn bet becomes better, but not much.
Barrel this river to fold out Ax? Quote

      
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