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AQs difficult spot on river AQs difficult spot on river

10-09-2018 , 12:29 PM
He has a lot of value hands here and of course a lot of bluffs. Im blocking one possible bluffing combo. He also has a lot of suited connectors JTs,Q9s,T9s,ATs,AQs etc to bluff with. AJ/J9 makes no sense cuz the way he played. Kind of hard decision. Toughts?

PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 195 BB (VPIP: 8.33, PFR: 8.33, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 12)
SB: 111.5 BB (VPIP: 22.22, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 50.00, Hands: 9)
BB: 402 BB (VPIP: 27.27, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)
UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 18.75, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 16)
Hero (UTG+1): 150.5 BB
MP: 51.5 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
MP+1: 127 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 100.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
MP+2: 99.5 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
CO: 98 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A Q

fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, MP calls 3 BB, fold, fold, CO calls 3 BB, BTN calls 3 BB, SB calls 2.5 BB, fold

Flop: (16 BB, 5 players) Q 6 T
SB checks, Hero bets 11 BB, MP calls 11 BB, CO calls 11 BB, fold, fold

Turn: (49 BB, 3 players) K
Hero checks, MP bets 11 BB, CO calls 11 BB, Hero calls 11 BB

River: (82 BB, 3 players) K
Hero checks, MP checks, CO bets 73 BB and is all-in, Hero?
AQs difficult spot on river Quote
10-09-2018 , 02:15 PM
I think you have to fold. On that bet size you need 1:1 bluff:value to justify a call and it doesn’t appear like there are enough likely bluffs.
AQs difficult spot on river Quote
10-09-2018 , 04:27 PM
Fold the turn.
AQs difficult spot on river Quote
10-09-2018 , 07:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GusMcrae
I think you have to fold. On that bet size you need 1:1 bluff:value to justify a call and it doesn’t appear like there are enough likely bluffs.
2:1 odds means you need to win 1/3 times, not 1/2 as is commonly thought.
AQs difficult spot on river Quote
10-09-2018 , 08:07 PM
I would bet 1/3 flop, check/call turn, fold river, this is a mwp, this is a really really easy spot.
AQs difficult spot on river Quote
10-09-2018 , 08:45 PM
Definitely a fold

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AQs difficult spot on river Quote
10-10-2018 , 06:05 AM
x flop
AQs difficult spot on river Quote
10-10-2018 , 02:00 PM
Check flop multi-way. Bet QTs+
AQs difficult spot on river Quote
10-10-2018 , 02:29 PM
Just to echo the previous two comments, I start with a check. There are loads of terrible turns for this hand (only blanks from 5-2 are good), which perhaps counter-intuitively means you should be less inclined to start bloating the pot OOP and multiway on the flop. Check the flop and see what happens. You don't want to be playing for stacks with one pair, no draw.
AQs difficult spot on river Quote

      
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