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Am I always beat? Am I always beat?

01-07-2018 , 01:08 AM
No history on villian... My assumption is villian flops 2pair /set as he plays the hand very agg. Is this a standard river fold?...


    Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37921249

    BB: $11.15 (111.5 bb)
    UTG: $11.01 (110.1 bb)
    MP: $15.33 (153.3 bb)
    CO: $22.21 (222.1 bb)
    BTN: $40.39 (403.9 bb)
    Hero (SB): $10.80 (108 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with 6 A
    4 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, BB calls $0.20

    Flop: ($0.60) 9 4 7 (2 players)
    Hero bets $0.40, BB raises to $1.40, Hero calls $1.00

    Turn: ($3.40) 3 (2 players)
    Hero checks, BB bets $2.44, Hero calls $2.44

    River: ($8.28) A (2 players)
    Hero checks, BB bets $7.01, Hero folds

    Spoiler:
    Results: $8.28 pot ($0.37 rake)
    Final Board: 9 4 7 3 A
    BB mucked and won $7.91 ($3.77 net)
    Hero mucked 6 A and lost (-$4.14 net)



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    Am I always beat? Quote
    01-07-2018 , 03:57 AM
    Fold the flop, you don't have implied odds if you make your flush and villains value range of flushes and sets has you pretty crushed anyways. If you can't fold the flop then fold the turn, if you can't fold the turn then yes, fold the river.
    Am I always beat? Quote
    01-07-2018 , 07:06 AM
    Is there ever a chance he's getting frisky with a worse flush draw?
    Am I always beat? Quote
    01-07-2018 , 09:41 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by nonsimplesimon
    Is there ever a chance he's getting frisky with a worse flush draw?
    Not really, and actually having the Ac really lessens the chance of him getting frisky.

    Kinda like a x/c on the flop actually. Exactly because don't wanna b/f with so much equity or b/c with too little equity. Not to mention A-high has SDV.

    That said, is an average Villain really capable of playing 2pair/set so aggressively all the way to the river on a monotone board? I'm leaning towards putting him only on a flush or nothing, which makes this as good a bluffcatcher as many stronger hands.

    I need confirmation of actual regs on this, but I think monotone boards are usually underbluffed in these stakes, so river's still a fold probably.
    Am I always beat? Quote
    01-07-2018 , 09:01 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by 2blackaces
    Fold the flop, you don't have implied odds if you make your flush and villains value range of flushes and sets has you pretty crushed anyways. If you can't fold the flop then fold the turn, if you can't fold the turn then yes, fold the river.
    I'm actually 30% on flop v the 3 sets, against the flush combos I'm almost always 50%or more. So to me it is a fold but not necessarily on the flop. I guess all of the villians hands are in his c range which makes it harder to pinpoint. However, your assessment of the hand has made me think far more, many thanks.
    Am I always beat? Quote

          
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