I squeeze and a player calls.
Flop is J high and i cbet.
Now turn is a Q and i have at best 10 outs.
I aked myself if i have FE here, will he fold TT,99,88 here or should i just give up ?
He called 12 bb preflop and i represent a very strong range, so im not sure if i can give him TT,99,88 here and of course JJ,QQ now beats me totally.
Giving his rest of 4.2 i need 27% Equity.
But how many times do you think he folds here.
If he folds 20% of the time i win 76 bb 20% of the time i can lose 19 bb if he calls, so i only have to win 23.5 bb out of 151 bb or i need 15% Equity.
If i think his range is 50% discounted QQ 1.5 combos, JJ 3 comso, TT 6 combos, 99 4 combos and 88 3 combos he has 17.4 combos and if he folds 4 combos of 88-TT i propably have the equity but of course i dont konw if he folds 20%.
Also the flop cbet is close, i have a BDFD but because of the small rest of 42.5 bb in 76 i dont konw if people ever fold a pp here to the river.
888 Poker - $0.10 NL (6 max) FAST - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 147.2 BB
SB: 152 BB
Hero (BB): 100 BB
UTG: 111.9 BB
MP: 224.8 BB
CO: 77.5 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB,
Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K
A
UTG raises to 3 BB,
fold,
CO calls 3 BB,
fold, SB calls 2.5 BB,
Hero raises to 15 BB,
fold,
CO calls 12 BB,
fold
Flop: (36 BB, 2 players) J
3
6
Hero bets 20 BB,
CO calls 20 BB
Turn: (76 BB, 2 players) Q
Hero bets 65 BB and is all-in,
CO calls 42.5 BB and is all-in
River: (161 BB, 2 players) 7