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A4s IP s River Bet in 3B Pot A4s IP s River Bet in 3B Pot

05-02-2022 , 01:16 PM
Thoughts?

Hero (BTN): 108.8 BB
SB: 153.8 BB
BB: 189.5 BB
UTG: 101.5 BB
MP: 145.9 BB 31/31 after 15hands
CO: 87.3 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A 4

fold, MP raises to 3 BB, fold, Hero raises to 9 BB, fold, fold, MP calls 6 BB

Flop: (19.5 BB, 2 players) 7 A 3
MP checks, Hero bets 6.1 BB, MP calls 6.1 BB

Turn: (31.7 BB, 2 players) T
MP checks, Hero checks

River: (31.7 BB, 2 players) J
MP bets 17.5 BB, Hero calls 17.5 BB
A4s IP s River Bet in 3B Pot Quote
05-02-2022 , 02:32 PM
Fine in theory. You can probably find fold otr. Its kind hard for him to show up with enough/too many bluffs, only natural bluffs are 45s 56s which mostly fold pre, other flops floats get there so he needs to turn pairs into a bluff. Which probably dose not happed enough, 4 is not great blocker.
A4s IP s River Bet in 3B Pot Quote
05-02-2022 , 02:38 PM
I feel like these spots are pretty underbluffed and those 60% riverbets are usually quite value heavy here. You still have all the AJ+. Against most players we should probably fold. I doubt regs find enough bluffs here.
A4s IP s River Bet in 3B Pot Quote
05-02-2022 , 03:19 PM
never win here, still never fold. i remember ddp posting in similar spot about bluff raising river w range. i think thats iffier here on j / t runout (turn / rivers more strong hands that would have been discounted by flop c/c)
i think u can check flop pretty frequently
A4s IP s River Bet in 3B Pot Quote
05-02-2022 , 04:32 PM
A4s appears to be indifferent between calling and folding on the river:



It's difficult to find HJ's natural bluffs; but relatively easy to find their value hands. They'd need to be correctly checking a lot of value while turning hands like KJs/QJs/44/55 into a bluff. For that reason, I think an exploitative fold is correct.

Villain's betting range:
A4s IP s River Bet in 3B Pot Quote
05-02-2022 , 08:37 PM
Narrower ranges, a runout that improved so much of villainīs range and a pool that in general wonīt really turn low pps into bluffs, realistically speaking + you donīt dominate any value hands.

With those datapoints in mind, easy fold.
A4s IP s River Bet in 3B Pot Quote
05-03-2022 , 02:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Haizemberg93
Fine in theory. You can probably find fold otr. Its kind hard for him to show up with enough/too many bluffs, only natural bluffs are 45s 56s which mostly fold pre, other flops floats get there so he needs to turn pairs into a bluff. Which probably dose not happed enough, 4 is not great blocker.
Solver has this combo as being a fold an high % of the time, but other combos of of A4s being a call..

Still feel this is an underbluffed spot mostly l.. KQx got there, AQo+ beats me.. Just depends on if villain value bets that part of his range?
A4s IP s River Bet in 3B Pot Quote

      
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