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99 over pair on flop villain jams J on turn 99 over pair on flop villain jams J on turn

05-19-2014 , 06:26 PM
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 17.61, PFR: 13.07, 3Bet Preflop: 3.03, Hands: 177)
BB: 115.4 BB (VPIP: 13.95, PFR: 10.08, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 132)
UTG: 94.2 BB (VPIP: 25.32, PFR: 16.46, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 79)
UTG+1: 100 BB (VPIP: 16.89, PFR: 12.89, 3Bet Preflop: 2.22, Hands: 229)
UTG+2: 44.5 BB
MP: 87.4 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 3)
MP+1: 100 BB (VPIP: 10.37, PFR: 9.84, 3Bet Preflop: 2.10, Hands: 383)
CO: 79.9 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9 9

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, CO calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 6 BB, SB calls 5.5 BB, fold, CO calls 5 BB

Flop: (19 BB, 3 players) 7 3 2
SB bets 9 BB, CO calls 9 BB, Hero raises to 27 BB, SB calls 18 BB, CO calls 18 BB

Turn: (100 BB, 3 players) J
SB bets 67 BB and is all-in, fold, [b]Hero ?
99 over pair on flop villain jams J on turn Quote
05-20-2014 , 11:22 AM
I think you're dead to a 9 here.

Upon my first read of the hand I thought that there could be some flush/combo draws, but then I noticed there's a third player involved. This complicates things.

On the Turn the SB knows that he led out, was called and then raised, and then has called and gets overcalled by CO. In my experience the shove on the Turn into two players in this situation is more often a very strong hand. If he had led the Turn with a weak holding (67, 87, 55, 44, 45) and then got called and raised (esp by preflop aggressor) I'd expect such an opponent to then fold.

I would expect him to show up with a set here, having led the Flop to potentially get action from two players, and having shoved the Turn with only 2/3 pot bet remaining on a draw-heavy board. Fold.
99 over pair on flop villain jams J on turn Quote
05-22-2014 , 10:32 AM
easy fold
99 over pair on flop villain jams J on turn Quote
05-22-2014 , 11:29 AM
Fold flop.
99 over pair on flop villain jams J on turn Quote
05-22-2014 , 02:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dovidiu
Fold flop.
+1
99 over pair on flop villain jams J on turn Quote
05-22-2014 , 05:19 PM
Villain showed up with 1010
99 over pair on flop villain jams J on turn Quote
05-23-2014 , 01:02 AM
88 is really the only hand we beat and it's a bit hard for him to consider that worthy of donking and when someone calls after him we'd have to assume we're way behind.

Even vs FD+overs we don't stand to well to include that as a majority of his range.

And most people donk sets on this wet of a board and adding all of the above makes it a mandatory fold here.
99 over pair on flop villain jams J on turn Quote
05-23-2014 , 01:39 AM
You turned your hand into a bluff by raising 99 since the range that continues has you crushed. Turn is a super easy fold.
99 over pair on flop villain jams J on turn Quote
05-23-2014 , 02:29 PM
Hey guys, found this hand pretty interesting. For me it would be a tough hand to fold in many regards. Why does no-one think he will shove here with a flush draw? Been thinking about this hand a bit, is a flush draw ie KQ/KJ/AK/AQ suited not in his range, guessing AK isnt because he would re raise with that?

Thanks
99 over pair on flop villain jams J on turn Quote
05-23-2014 , 05:00 PM
Which flush draw? If the diamond draw then why not ship the Flop? If the club draw then how has he got to the Turn?
99 over pair on flop villain jams J on turn Quote

      
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