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800nl I has top pair 800nl I has top pair

05-24-2008 , 04:08 PM
Ok so this hand happened a few days ago and has been bugging me. Villain is a tag reg, pretty aggro but not overly so. He was like 24/19/4 over about 2k hands. We have no major history. Thoughts on turn check and whether I can call the river or not. He had just lost a pot vs the fish the hand before so thats why he wasn't full stacked.

$4/$8 No Limit Holdem
3 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
BTN Hero ($804.00)
SB ($609.40)
BB($548.80)

Pre-flop: ($12, 3 players) Hero is BTN Q T
Hero raises to $28, 1 fold, BB calls $20

Flop: Q 9 5 ($60, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $49, BB calls $49

Turn: J ($158, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: 7 ($158, 2 players)
BB bets $112
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-24-2008 , 04:10 PM
i like the turn check, and i probably call this river.
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-24-2008 , 04:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by luckybacon
i like the turn check, and i probably call this river.
sounds good to me.
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-24-2008 , 06:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by luckybacon
i like the turn check, and i probably call this river.
agreed
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-24-2008 , 07:15 PM
Your hand looks like nothing. It's a pretty decent spot for him to bluff if he missed. Obviously he can show up with plenty of hands that beat you, but I think you are good a little more often than enough to profit.
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-24-2008 , 07:57 PM
which site offers 4/8 nl?
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-24-2008 , 08:53 PM
How light does he value bet? Thats the key here, if he's the type to extract a bluff with two pair here its a call, if not its a fold.
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-24-2008 , 09:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by billybeartku
which site offers 4/8 nl?
Probably not the only one, but prima does.
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-24-2008 , 09:46 PM
1) what made hand calls preflop + the flop that he turns into a bluff here? we have the Td so only hand i can think of is 8d8 6d6 ... not that much combos (and those hands have some showdown value) + he could easily play better hands like this (KQ QJ that thinks ur barreling turna alot, ...)

i think it's a fold

2) checking flop has merits imho, i can't see him checkcalling worse a lot on this board, and the worse hands he does checkcall with we have crushed so a freecard doesn't matter, we aren't getting 3 streets of value anyway, etc
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-24-2008 , 10:13 PM
why would you not bet the turn?
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-24-2008 , 10:23 PM
I hadn't seen him vb that light on the river in any of our sessions, in general he didn't seem that aggro on the river, but he wasn't super-passive or anything either.
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-24-2008 , 10:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Some9
why would you not bet the turn?
I didn't bet the turn cos I have a weak made hand and a med strength draw. I would hate to get cr'd here and I don't think there's much value in betting

ty for all replies so far
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-24-2008 , 11:51 PM
i think he smells weakness and feels he can take pot from you.if he has hand like KQ OR QJ why not to bet the flop with such board? it looks like he is on flushdraw.Jc on the turn is neutral card.you could bet the turn to define your hand,if he calls or raise you are probably beaten.what could he put you on on the river?if you had top pair good kicker you could bet the turn,your turn check looks like you want to see another card and not sure you have the best hand.
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-28-2008 , 10:16 PM
Oops forgot to give result. I'm a station and timed down and called. Really think its a fold though as there just aren't enough hands he can have that he can bluff with or vb lighter with imo
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-28-2008 , 10:20 PM
no i call

we beat AdJx AxJd some Q-x and busted draws, seems like somewhat routine call

Last edited by Drag007; 05-28-2008 at 10:21 PM. Reason: started to regret my initial 3 word response
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-28-2008 , 10:44 PM
but i don't beat AdAx imo
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-29-2008 , 05:50 AM
bet turn or call river. i prob like betting turn more.
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-29-2008 , 06:23 AM
i like your line. you can have atc. most villains (and especially 24/19/4) are firing here probably 70% and a few of his semidecent made hands check to you.

i like the turn check because you dont want to get c/red. you have a hand with a lot of equity that can practically call any river card (besides As Ac Ah).
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-29-2008 , 06:35 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JackAll
bet turn or call river. i prob like betting turn more.
Why do you think I should bet the turn. How do you respond if he a) raises or b) calls and leads a blank river
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-29-2008 , 06:53 AM
I don't think he plays a c/c-c/r line on a 3suited flop too often. If he does, it's a pretty easy fold. I also doubt he leads a blank river all that often. When he does, it probably hit him. So I would fold as well.
800nl I has top pair Quote
05-29-2008 , 08:05 AM
I would be much happier to call if the board came different and I somehow could beat hands like QJ. There is so much crap out there that beats QT and he probably isnt valuebetting any J.
Guess he could be betting AT but thats pretty much it. Altho the board has a lot going on it can't look like a good spot to bluff with a pair or missed diamond from the villains viewpoint. And if he is competent he can valuebet KQ+ easily on the river.
800nl I has top pair Quote

      
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