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5NLz - River decision with QQ on low board 180BB deep 5NLz - River decision with QQ on low board 180BB deep

06-16-2018 , 05:26 PM
SB: 176.4 BB
Hero (BB): 185.6 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Q Q

fold, fold, fold, fold, SB calls 0.6 BB, Hero raises to 5 BB, SB calls 4 BB

Flop: (10 BB, 2 players) 8 2 3
SB checks, Hero bets 7 BB, SB calls 7 BB

Turn: (24 BB, 2 players) 9
SB checks, Hero bets 17 BB, SB raises to 38.4 BB, Hero calls 21.4 BB

River: (100.8 BB, 2 players) 5
SB checks, Hero?

This is from Ignition 5z. I think I played pre, flop, and turn fine against the limper. What's my plan on the river? Check back, bet/fold, bet/call? If I bet, how much?
5NLz - River decision with QQ on low board 180BB deep Quote
06-16-2018 , 05:41 PM
I would not be so excited about valuebet river because I can not see anything we can be ahead that will call us. Very rarely some 9x that minraise turn. But having to think that this minraise is more set face.

check behind IMO
5NLz - River decision with QQ on low board 180BB deep Quote
06-16-2018 , 10:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by coolshadow
I would not be so excited about valuebet river because I can not see anything we can be ahead that will call us. Very rarely some 9x that minraise turn. But having to think that this minraise is more set face.

check behind IMO
I think TT and JJ are definitely in villain's range as well. Also, limpers in this population have a wide range and are often pretty spewy. I agree this is mostly 2p+, but I think you're giving him a little too much credit. That said, checking behind sounds good.
5NLz - River decision with QQ on low board 180BB deep Quote
06-17-2018 , 05:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LargeNumbers
I think TT and JJ are definitely in villain's range as well. Also, limpers in this population have a wide range and are often pretty spewy. I agree this is mostly 2p+, but I think you're giving him a little too much credit. That said, checking behind sounds good.
This range of limp on nl5 can be very wide but usually it is with very marginal hands or low PP. And even if TT-JJ did that I think V would raise on the flop with flushdraw on the board.
5NLz - River decision with QQ on low board 180BB deep Quote
06-17-2018 , 07:59 PM
I'm checking back. Villians raise is basically our 3rd street. He should be check raising bluffs and hands better than 1p on the turn, neither of which we want to bet into.
5NLz - River decision with QQ on low board 180BB deep Quote
06-18-2018 , 05:23 AM
I'm thinking your opponent either has a monster hand or a busted draw. You bet large preflop with QQ so your opponent is probably going to be suspect of you having a hand like this. 5x preflop is too big imo since it is predictable and easy to play against.
5NLz - River decision with QQ on low board 180BB deep Quote

      
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