The villain is a reg at 5nl zoom, if I remember correctly he is playing two tables. I have 75 hands on him but no notes, he's playing pretty tight and hasn't 3 bet yet.
18/12/0 AF 3.0
[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
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#15228341
BTN: $8.97 (179.4 bb)
SB: $7.39 (147.8 bb)
BB: $4.38 (87.6 bb)
UTG: $5.42 (108.4 bb)
MP: $6.36 (127.2 bb)
Hero (CO): $12.60 (252 bb)
Preflop: Hero is CO with K
K
UTG raises to $0.10,
MP folds,
Hero raises to $0.35, 3 folds, UTG calls $0.25
Flop: ($0.77) 9
A
T
(2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($0.77) K
(2 players)
UTG checks,
Hero bets $0.55, UTG calls $0.55
River: ($1.87) Q
(2 players)
UTG checks Hero???
Preflop I think is pretty standard, I actually made my 3bet slightly bigger than normal as I didn't think the 1BB would make a difference to his calling frequency.
He calls and the the dreaded A high flop appears, when he checks to me I think I could have bet but I don't feel it accomplishes much. I'll get called 100% of the time by and A as well as allow lots of weaker hands in his range to fold. Although checking behind allows heart draws a free card I'm not too worried, if a heart peels and he starts getting aggro I feel I can get away from it without investing too much. Is this line of thought okay or should I be betting this flop?
When I turn second set and he checks to me for a second time it's time to go for value. The thing that is troubling me on this street is I'm really unsure on his calling range. I think KQs/KJs/QQ/JJ all call a bet, but does he have hands like AJ/AQ/KTs in his calling range? Would these hands not have led the turn?
Either way I think there are enough worse hands to call a bet so I bet around 2/3 pot for value. He calls and the river comes a Q. He checks for a third time and I'm unsure whether a bet on the river is too thin? I think AQ/KT will call but as I said before I'm not even sure if these are in his range? :S
Also will KQ/QQ call? Any hand with a J is obviously raising but I am comfortable folding if he does raise as I don't think he'll be bluffing on the river.