5nl - 89s flush river call? - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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5nl - 89s flush river call?

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11-26-2019 , 09:04 PM

avro_504

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2019 Posts: 250

Should we fold here?

PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 101.8 BB
SB: 97.6 BB
BB: 100 BB
UTG: 109.4 BB
MP: 131 BB
Hero (CO): 100 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 8

fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.4 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 1.4 BB

Flop: (5.2 BB, 2 players) 4

BB bets 1 BB, Hero calls 1 BB

Turn: (7.2 BB, 2 players) J

BB bets 4 BB, Hero calls 4 BB

River: (15.2 BB, 2 players) 5

BB bets 92.6 BB and is all-in

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11-26-2019 , 09:30 PM

FiveHighFlush

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2018 Posts: 135

I think he has enough Jx that it's a call. It is hard to interpret the mindonk, but I think it is mostly sets and Jx, with occasionally some 77-TT

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11-27-2019 , 02:32 AM

Tightnitreg1

Formerly NeedGTOfor2NL

Join Date: Feb 2019 Posts: 1,194

You can raise flop to like 6bb

Ap prolly caall vs fish

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11-27-2019 , 03:28 PM

AskZandar

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 3,046

The flop minidonk is a FD a lot, 44/66, Jx incl. J4s-J6s, Jxdd, or a weak pair in general, so he's going to have a ton of flushes, and FH. I think the turn is a fold too.

I don't think it's anywhere close to a call after he shoves the river.

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11-27-2019 , 07:23 PM

whitemares

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2014 Posts: 5,786

I would fold this honestly, weaker micro players love donking 2 flush boards then going huge when they hit. I'd expect him to pretty much pot the turn with Jx, so I'd just let it go.

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11-27-2019 , 07:37 PM

andreicos

old hand

Join Date: May 2019 Posts: 1,250

A sad fold imo

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11-27-2019 , 09:24 PM

TCP

enthusiast

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 89

you have to be better close to 90% of the time to call profitably, so I would just fold and find a better spot. edit: WRONG

Last edited by TCP; 11-27-2019 at 09:44 PM. Reason: was wrong af

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11-27-2019 , 09:29 PM

AskZandar

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 3,046

Quote:

Originally Posted by TCP

you have to be better close to 90% of the time to call profitably, so I would just fold and find a better spot.

It's impossible to have to be good 50% of the time, let alone 90%, before considering rake.

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11-27-2019 , 09:43 PM

TCP

enthusiast

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 89

Quote:

Originally Posted by AskZandar

It's impossible to have to be good 50% of the time, let alone 90%, before considering rake.

I'm a moron and did the math wrong, please consider what I said retracted.

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