50nl Zone on bovada. No Stats, NO reads, but very soft site.

Flop is brilliant for me but i get check min-raised on turn. Am I ever good here?

Can I find a fold or am I being r/o? I feel like check min raises are like always the nuts. At least on this site

SB: $31.32
BB: 23.25
Utg (hero): 95.70
utg xx
utg 2 xx
D: xx

Hero has AJ and opens to $1.50
Folds to SB who makes it $2.50
BB Calls
Hero Calls

Flop
Q 9 A

checks to me, I bet $4.25, SB Calls, BB Folds


Turn A

Sb Checks, I bet $7, Sb raises to $14

Sb has $10.57 behind....

I play on Bovada. Players rarely 3bet with 99 preflop. So we've got QQ, AQ, and AK to worry about. 10 total combos. But against QQ, 7 outs and against AK we have 11 or 12 outs to win outright and another 6 to tie. AQ is the only hand we're dead against. I know turn check-raises are typically nut hands, but our hand is way too strong to fold. So I'd ship. Not feeling too good about it, but it's pretty much our only option.

I agree with ohsnapzbrah. I too play on Bovada.

trying to give some min3betting fish a reasonable range is kinda meh

agree with shipping given eff stacks

edit: actually doesn't really make sense to ship if we are always behind when he raises and have odds to just flat

out of curiosity, those of you who play Bovada 50NL, I started playing it around a month ago. I currently play two tables at a time and I estimate my hands per hour at 250 per table (500 total per hour). I've played over 24k hands and have a win rate of 17bb/100 hands, which seems ridiculously high. I am running good, but not crazy good by any means. Was curious what your win rates are if you feel that you crush the game/have a larger sample size.

judging by his stack size and his small raises, he's an obvious fish. and with zero history i guess its a tough call. Without history, he's as likely to have Q9 or A9 as he is any of the other obvious hands that beat us, given the PF action. I think min raises are very telling and usually polarizing in the case of most fish. Its either a complete miss and thats their pathetic attempt at "tricking" you, or its the nuts. but without history, a call here is more of a guess than a calculated play.

Ive never played at Bovada, and ill assume "ZONE" is a fast fold type game?? if thats the case, i just fold and move on to a better spot. if its a reg 6max table, and i think ill be sitting with him a while, ill jam on him and see what happens. at the very least its a great opportunity for a note on him. the one "read" we do have is that he's likely a fish. this could be a valuable spot to see how he plays either his premium boards, his air boards, his 2nd pair, etc. or maybe his min raises mean he's weak and he insta folds.. but i only make that play at a reg 6 max table where table dynamics are involved

Not folding to his min raise here.